Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PILAR-17 in Mexico from 23 Sep 2017 21:00 UTC to 25 Sep 2017 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PILAR-17

in Mexico

24 Sep 2017 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PILAR-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	66 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (26 Sep 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	66 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	29 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

29 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Sep 2017 18:00	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2017 00:00	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2017 06:00	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Sep 2017 12:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	23 Sep 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Sep 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 26 Sep 2017 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Sep 2017 05:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2017 01:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2017 01:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	24 Sep 2017 18:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	24 Sep 2017 21:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Sep 2017 21:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2017 01:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 12:30	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 12:30	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 12:30	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Gaviota	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Lento	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Tajiguas	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Capitan	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Naples	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Las Cruces	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Sacate	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	San Augustine	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Concepcion	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Coromar	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Isla Vista	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Goleta	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Hope Ranch	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Jalama	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Mission	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Montecito	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Summerland	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	25 Sep 2017 01:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2017 06:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2017 06:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:15	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:00	Rincon	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:00	Shepards	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:00	Punta	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 22:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	26 Sep 2017 03:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:00	Faria	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:00	Dulah	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2017 21:30	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 12:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 16:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 16:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	26 Sep 2017 21:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2017 21:30	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 21:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2017 21:30	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 22:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2017 03:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:30	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:30	Ventura	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:30	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:30	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 13:30	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 20:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2017 02:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 12:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 12:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	24 Sep 2017 12:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.