Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OWEN-18
in Australia
04 Dec 2018 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone OWEN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Dec 13:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 02 Dec 2018 00:00 83 No people No people
        Green 2 02 Dec 2018 06:00 83 No people No people
        Green 3 02 Dec 2018 12:00 93 No people No people
        Green 4 02 Dec 2018 18:00 93 No people No people
        Green 5 03 Dec 2018 00:00 93 No people No people
        Green 6 03 Dec 2018 06:00 102 No people No people
        Green 7 03 Dec 2018 12:00 93 No people No people
        Green 8 03 Dec 2018 18:00 83 No people No people
        Green 9 04 Dec 2018 00:00 74 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 02 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -14, 154.1
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Dec 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -14.1, 154.6
          GREEN
          		 3 02 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -14.6, 154.9
          GREEN
          		 4 02 Dec 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.2, 154.9
          GREEN
          		 5 03 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.6, 155
          GREEN
          		 6 03 Dec 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -15.7, 155.5
          GREEN
          		 7 03 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -15.8, 155.8
          GREEN
          		 8 03 Dec 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.8, 157
          GREEN
          		 9 04 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -15.9, 157
          GREEN
          		 9 04 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -16.2, 156.9
          GREEN
          		 9 05 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.6, 155.9
          GREEN
          		 9 05 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.6, 155
          GREEN
          		 9 06 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16.2, 153.6
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Losuia, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 02 Dec 2018 13:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (135 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 04 Dec 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Losuia Papua New Guinea  0.4
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.4
          02 Dec 2018 14:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.3
          02 Dec 2018 06:00 Saibai Australia  0.3
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Kaduaga Papua New Guinea  0.3
          05 Dec 2018 18:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.3
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Etowri Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Bucasia Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Eimeo Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Andergrove Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 18:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Midgeton Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Carmila Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 18:00 Slade Point Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 18:00 Amhurst Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 14:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Glenella Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 18:00 North Mackay Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 18:00 Mackay Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 18:00 Cremorne Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Lahimoina Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Leileiafa Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Apeawa Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Tovai Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Rosella Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Chelona Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Hay Point Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 20:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 19:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 20:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Auneri Papua New Guinea  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 21:00 Seaforth Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 06:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Bona Bona I Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.2
          06 Dec 2018 00:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
          06 Dec 2018 00:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
          06 Dec 2018 00:00 Alva Australia  0.2
          06 Dec 2018 00:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 11:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 21:00 Elalie Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 21:00 Kalarka Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Maubi Papua New Guinea  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 14:00 Farnborough Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 14:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 14:00 Emu Park Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Lea-Lea Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Badu Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 10:00 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 10:00 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 10:00 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 10:00 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 21:00 Clairview Australia  0.2
          05 Dec 2018 15:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Koravaki Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 11:00 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 22:00 Merinda Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 22:00 Delta Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 22:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 06:00 Griffin Point Papua New Guinea  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 15:00 Southend Australia  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 01:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 01:00 Madaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 01:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 11:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 22:00 Bowen Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 22:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Bedauna Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Pihigole Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 06:00 Kido Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Keakalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Silo Silo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Kinipo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 21:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 01:00 Pantava Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Donuwo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Kasabanalua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Samarai Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Sidudu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Magesina Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Sideia I Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Marea Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Haiara Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Ihu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Vailala Hiloi Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Iori Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Vailala East Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Gogsiba Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Hammond I Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Ara'ava Papua New Guinea  0.1
          03 Dec 2018 01:00 Inveroona Australia  0.1
          03 Dec 2018 01:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 13:00 Rewe Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Kapai Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Apiope Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Ravi-kevau Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Cassady Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Lucinda Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Lawes College Papua New Guinea  0.1