Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FLORENCE-18
in United States
11 Sep 2018 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FLORENCE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population 1.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 231 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

231 km/h Current

Up to 880000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 120 40 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 120 7 thousand No people
Green 4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 111 No people No people
Green 9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 102 No people No people
Green 14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 93 No people No people
Green 16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 120 No people No people
Green 21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 148 No people No people
Green 23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 204 No people No people
Green 26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 194 No people No people
Green 30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 204 No people No people
Green 32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 213 No people No people
Green 34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 231 No people No people
Green 37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 231 No people No people
Green 38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 231 410 thousand No people United States
Orange 39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 231 2.7 million 160 thousand United States
Orange 40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 222 4.3 million 340 thousand United States
Orange 41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 222 6.5 million 600 thousand United States
Orange 42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 222 5.9 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 241 5.7 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 231 7.3 million 1.3 million United States
Red 45 10 Sep 2018 15:00 231 8 million 2.1 million United States
Red 46 10 Sep 2018 21:00 222 6.5 million 2 million United States
Orange 47 11 Sep 2018 03:00 222 5.2 million 820 thousand United States
Orange 48 11 Sep 2018 09:00 231 5.7 million 880 thousand United States

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -18.4
GREEN
2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -19.4
GREEN
3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -20.9
GREEN
4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.6, -21.4
GREEN
5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.7, -22.7
GREEN
6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.8, -24.7
GREEN
7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -25.5
GREEN
8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.5, -26.7
GREEN
9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.8, -27.8
GREEN
10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.6, -29
GREEN
11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16, -30.2
GREEN
12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.5, -31.4
GREEN
13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17, -33.2
GREEN
14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.4, -34.6
GREEN
15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.9, -35.9
GREEN
16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 18, -37.5
GREEN
17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.3, -38.7
GREEN
18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.6, -39.8
GREEN
19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.9, -41
GREEN
20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.3, -42
GREEN
21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.7, -42.5
GREEN
22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 20.3, -43.2
GREEN
23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 20.7, -43.9
GREEN
24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 21.4, -44.8
GREEN
25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 22, -45.7
GREEN
26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 22.7, -46.6
GREEN
27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 23.4, -47.2
GREEN
28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 24.1, -47.9
GREEN
29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.6, -48.6
GREEN
30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 25, -49.6
GREEN
31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.1, -49.8
GREEN
32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.1, -50.7
GREEN
33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -51.8
GREEN
34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.8, -52.5
GREEN
35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.8, -53.2
GREEN
36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.2
GREEN
37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.3
GREEN
38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -54.7
GREEN
39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -55.2
GREEN
40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.5, -55.8
GREEN
41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 24.4, -56.3
GREEN
42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24.4, -57
GREEN
43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24.6, -57.7
GREEN
44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.9, -58.9
GREEN
45 10 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 25, -60
GREEN
46 10 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 25.4, -61.1
GREEN
47 11 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 25.9, -62.4
GREEN
48 11 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 26.4, -64.1
GREEN
48 11 Sep 2018 18:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 27.2, -66.4
GREEN
48 12 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 28.7, -69.4
GREEN
48 12 Sep 2018 18:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 30.5, -72.2
ORANGE
48 13 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 231 5.5 million people 550000 people 32.2, -74.5 United States
ORANGE
48 14 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 213 5.5 million people 880000 people 34.3, -77.1 United States
GREEN
48 15 Sep 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 3.9 million people no people 35.2, -78 United States
GREEN
48 16 Sep 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 36, -79 United States
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
North Carolina United States 6.8 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Wilmington North Carolina United States City 75000 people 1586 km
Goldsboro North Carolina United States City 39000 people 1657 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Beaufort Morehead City 3 Civ. Paved Yes 4200 1516 km
Morehead City State Port Terminal 2 0 1518 km
Circle P Farm 9 0 1536 km
Bogue Field Mcalf 7 Mil. Unpaved No 4000 1542 km
Cherry Point Mcas NKT 9 Mil. Paved Yes 8900 1545 km
Triple M 9 0 1546 km
Dogwood Farm 8 0 1547 km
Hickory Hill 9 0 1550 km
Whitewood Forest 9 0 1566 km
Craven Co Regional EWN 6 Civ. Paved Yes 6000 1566 km
Epley 12 0 1569 km
Craven Regional Medical Center 2 0 1570 km
Camp Davis Mcolf 18 0 1571 km
Topsail Airpark 20 0 1572 km
Deppe Landing Strip 14 0 1573 km
New River Mcas 8 Mil. Paved Yes 5100 1574 km
Catino Ranch 15 0 1576 km
Canaan Air Base 10 0 1576 km
Pilots Ridge 11 0 1577 km
Bell Strip 11 0 1578 km
Oak Grove Mcolf 8 0 1580 km
New Hanover County ILM 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8000 1586 km
Sky Manor 18 0 1587 km
Albert J Ellis OAJ 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7100 1595 km
Stag Air Park 7 0 1596 km
Brickhouse Fld 9 0 1598 km
Hell And Purgatory 24 0 1602 km
Pettigrew Moore Aerodrome 9 0 1609 km
Flying W 35 0 1611 km
Pink Hill 44 0 1618 km
Henderson Field 12 Civ. Paved Yes 3900 1619 km
Kinston Jetport Stallings ISO 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7500 1625 km
Safe Field 15 0 1625 km
Murphy Farms 24 0 1626 km
Moss Hill 9 0 1628 km
Duplin General Hospital 38 0 1630 km
Smith Farm 17 0 1632 km
P B Raiford 41 Civ. Paved Yes 6000 1634 km
Mt Olive Municipal 51 0 1651 km
Seymour Johnson AFB GSB 33 Mil. Paved Yes 11700 1652 km
Wayne Memorial Hospital Inc. 32 0 1655 km
Goldsboro Wayne Municipal 41 Civ. Paved Yes 5500 1660 km
Cox-Grantham Airfield 48 0 1666 km
Scottbrook Farm 49 0 1667 km
Hinton Field 46 0 1674 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Cape Lookout Wake Island 1498 km
Morehead City USMRH Wake Island 1516 km
Swansboro Wake Island 1549 km
New Bern Wake Island 1569 km
Wrightsville USXOG Wake Island 1575 km
Wilmington (n.cal) USILM Wake Island 1589 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 48 of 11 Sep 2018 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)