Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FAKIR-18
in Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FAKIR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (24 Apr 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mauritius)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 120 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 23 Apr 2018 12:00 102 2.1 million No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
Green 2 23 Apr 2018 18:00 102 2.1 million No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
Green 3 24 Apr 2018 00:00 111 2.1 million No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
Green 4 24 Apr 2018 06:00 120 2.1 million No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
Green 5 24 Apr 2018 12:00 111 2.1 million No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
Green 6 24 Apr 2018 18:00 93 2.1 million No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
Green 7 25 Apr 2018 00:00 65 2.1 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Apr 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -15.8, 52.9
GREEN
2 23 Apr 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2.1 million people -17.5, 54.1 Mauritius
GREEN
3 24 Apr 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2.1 million people -19.5, 55.1 Mauritius
GREEN
4 24 Apr 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 2.1 million people -21.3, 56.2 Mauritius
GREEN
5 24 Apr 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 160000 people -22.8, 57.2 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
GREEN
6 24 Apr 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -23.8, 58.1
7 25 Apr 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -24.6, 59.1
7 25 Apr 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -25.4, 60.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mauritius
Reunion

Provinces

Region Province Country
Mauritius Mauritius
Reunion Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Port Louis Mauritius Capital 150000 people
Saint-Denis Reunion Capital 140000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Plaisance International MRU 57 Civ. Paved Yes 9900
St Pierre Pierrefonds ZSE 16 0
Saint Denis Gillot RUN 20 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Mahebourg Mauritius
Saint Pierre Reunion
Port Louis MUPLU Mauritius
Saint Denis Reunion
Pointe Des Galets REPDG Reunion

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Cascades, Reunion. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2018 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (24 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 25 Apr 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2018 05:00 Cascades Reunion  0.2
24 Apr 2018 05:00 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.2
24 Apr 2018 05:00 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
24 Apr 2018 05:00 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
24 Apr 2018 04:00 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:00 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2018 06:00 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:00 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 06:00 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2018 15:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2018 05:00 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 06:00 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:00 Le Port Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:00 La Possession Reunion  0.1