Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANKLIN-17
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FRANKLIN-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2017-000105-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 1.1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (09 Aug 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 139 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.7 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 111 6.5 million No people Belize, Mexico
Green 2 07 Aug 2017 03:00 111 8.3 million No people Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, Mexico
Green 3 07 Aug 2017 09:00 102 18.5 million No people Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, Mexico, Guatemala
Green 4 07 Aug 2017 15:00 111 39.2 million No people Honduras, Belize, Mexico, Nicaragua, Guatemala
Green 5 07 Aug 2017 21:00 120 50.4 million No people Mexico, Belize, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua
Green 6 08 Aug 2017 03:00 120 49.5 million No people Mexico, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua
Green 7 08 Aug 2017 09:00 111 55.9 million No people Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
Green 8 08 Aug 2017 15:00 111 43.2 million No people Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
Green 9 08 Aug 2017 21:00 111 13.7 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua
Orange 10 09 Aug 2017 03:00 120 53.1 million 940 thousand Mexico
Orange 11 09 Aug 2017 09:00 130 32.1 million 3.6 million Mexico
Orange 12 09 Aug 2017 15:00 139 23.8 million 1.9 million Mexico
Orange 13 09 Aug 2017 21:00 139 48.9 million 23.7 million Mexico
Orange 14 10 Aug 2017 03:00 139 59.1 million 1.7 million Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.6, -82
GREEN
2 07 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 63000 people 16.4, -83 Honduras
GREEN
3 07 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 210000 people 17.1, -84.2 Honduras
GREEN
4 07 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 630000 people 17.7, -85.1 Belize
GREEN
5 07 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.2 million people 18.6, -85.9 Mexico
GREEN
6 08 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 3.4 million people 19.1, -87.3 Mexico
GREEN
7 08 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 3.3 million people 19.3, -88.5 Guatemala
GREEN
8 08 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 3.3 million people 19.6, -89.6 Guatemala
GREEN
9 08 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.7 million people 20.2, -90.3 Mexico
GREEN
10 09 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 5 million people 20.3, -91.3 Guatemala
GREEN
11 09 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 3 million people 20.4, -92.7 Mexico
GREEN
12 09 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 6.2 million people 20.2, -93.9 Mexico
ORANGE
13 09 Aug 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 1.1 million people 14.5 million people 20.1, -94.9 Mexico
ORANGE
14 10 Aug 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 1.7 million people 38.5 million people 20.2, -96.1 Mexico
GREEN
14 10 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 50.6 million people 20, -98 Mexico
GREEN
14 11 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.5, -102 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Veracruz Mexico
Puebla Mexico
Hidalgo Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people
Teziutl�n Puebla Mexico City 60000 people
Zacatl�n Puebla Mexico City 30000 people
Chignahuapan Puebla Mexico City 16000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
La Soledad Apulco 1962
Tenango Coacuila 1910
Necaxa Necaxa 1909

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Santa Cruz, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2017 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (179 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 10 Aug 2017 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Noham Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 02:00 Champoton Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 02:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 02:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.7
08 Aug 2017 23:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.7
09 Aug 2017 01:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.6
08 Aug 2017 18:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Nautla Mexico  0.5
08 Aug 2017 09:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2017 05:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.4
08 Aug 2017 03:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2017 06:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.4
08 Aug 2017 07:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2017 20:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2017 07:00 Ranas Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 05:00 Laja Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 05:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Condega Honduras  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.3
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.3
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Majahual Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 06:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 05:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2017 03:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2017 02:00 Almacen Cuba  0.3
09 Aug 2017 04:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 04:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2017 03:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2017 02:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.2
10 Aug 2017 03:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 03:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2017 01:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.2
08 Aug 2017 07:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.2
08 Aug 2017 01:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 23:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 04:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 01:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2017 07:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.2
08 Aug 2017 07:00 Batabano Cuba  0.2
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Palacios United States  0.2
10 Aug 2017 02:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
10 Aug 2017 02:00 Boca Chica United States  0.2
10 Aug 2017 03:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 04:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2017 15:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
07 Aug 2017 22:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 09:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 03:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 09:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 03:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 23:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 23:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 23:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 23:00 Port Isabel United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 23:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 22:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 07:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 07:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
07 Aug 2017 22:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2017 06:00 El Placer Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Texas City United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Flake United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2017 22:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 03:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2017 09:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2017 22:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Surfside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 04:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 04:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 04:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 20:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Estes United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 00:00 Rockport United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 00:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 00:00 Fulton United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Tonala Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Patton United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Caplen United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 High Island United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Mims United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Freeport United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Empalme Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 15:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2017 05:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 04:00 Galveston United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 18:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 22:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Quintana United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 00:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
10 Aug 2017 04:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 22:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 23:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 00:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 22:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 22:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 22:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Mullins Belize  0.1
07 Aug 2017 14:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
08 Aug 2017 09:00 Playa Caimito Cuba  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 01:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 22:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 21:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Cameron United States  0.1
07 Aug 2017 12:00 Donel Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 13:00 Miranda Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 15:00 Chipepte Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2017 10:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 23:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2017 23:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2017 03:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 22:00 Oak Grove United States  0.1
09 Aug 2017 22:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
07 Aug 2017 11:00 Bruner Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 11:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 12:00 El Urraco Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 12:00 Iriona Honduras  0.1
07 Aug 2017 12:00 La Puerta Honduras  0.1
09 Aug 2017 09:00 Playa de Tasajera Cuba  0.1
09 Aug 2017 03:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2017 04:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1