Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANKLIN-17
in Mexico
07 Aug 2017 03 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FRANKLIN-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2017-000105-MEX
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population 1.1 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (08 Aug 21:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 8.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 111 6.5 million No people Belize, Mexico
        Green 2 07 Aug 2017 03:00 111 8.3 million No people Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.6, -82
          GREEN
          		 2 07 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 63000 people 16.4, -83 Honduras
          GREEN
          		 2 07 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 250000 people 17.4, -84.9 Belize
          GREEN
          		 2 08 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.4 million people 18.5, -87.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 2 08 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.2 million people 19.5, -89.3 Belize
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 480000 people 20.2, -91.3 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 2 10 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 5.7 million people 20.9, -95.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21, -99.5 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Honduras
          Nicaragua
          Belize
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Gracias a Dios Honduras
          Zelaya Nicaragua
          Colon Honduras
          Belize Belize
          Corozal Belize
          Quintana Roo Mexico
          Orange Walk Belize
          Yucatan Mexico
          Campeche Mexico
          Veracruz Mexico
          Puebla Mexico
          Hidalgo Mexico
          San Luis Potosi Mexico
          Queretaro Mexico
          Guanajuato Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Chetumal Quintana Roo Mexico Major city 130000 people
          Peto Yucatán Mexico City 18000 people
          Tekax Yucatán Mexico City 23000 people
          Dzibalchén Campeche Mexico City -
          Oxkutzcab Yucatán Mexico City 21000 people
          Tekit Yucatán Mexico City 8800 people
          Ticul Yucatán Mexico City 30000 people
          Tekoh Yucatan Mexico City -
          Acancéh Yucatán Mexico City 9300 people
          Muna Yucatán Mexico City 11000 people
          Kanasín Yucatán Mexico City 38000 people
          Mérida Yucatán Mexico Major city 640000 people
          Hecelchakán Campeche Mexico City 9500 people
          Maxcanú Yucatán Mexico City 11000 people
          Campeche Campeche Mexico Major city 200000 people
          Hunucmá Yucatán Mexico City 21000 people
          Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
          Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people
          Papantla Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people
          Poza Rica Veracruz Mexico City 170000 people
          Tuxpan Veracruz Mexico City -
          Álamo Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
          Xiocotepec de Juarez Puebla Mexico City -
          Platón Sánchez Veracruz Mexico City 10000 people
          Pachuca Hidalgo Mexico Major city 320000 people
          Tempoal Veracruz Mexico City 12000 people
          Actopan Hidalgo Mexico City 26000 people
          San Juan Del Rio Hidalgo Mexico City 110000 people
          Tierra Blanca Guanajuato Mexico City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Islas del Cisne 12 Civ. Unpaved No 4600
          Puerto Lempira PEU 8 Civ. Unpaved No 5000
          Ahuas AHS 30 0
          Brus Laguna Araslaya BHG unknown 0
          Iriona IRN unknown 0
          Guanaja GJA 11 0
          San Pedro SPR 1 0
          Caye Chapel CYC unknown 0
          Sartaneja SJX unknown 0
          Chetumal International CTM 12 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
          Corozal Municipal CZH unknown 0
          Santa Cruz STU unknown 0
          Orange Walk ORZ unknown 0
          Carrillo Puerto 61 0
          Lic M Crecencio Rejon International MID 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8800
          Campeche International CPE 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
          Tajin PAZ 138 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
          Fausto Vega Santander 3 0
          Cabo Roja 7 0
          Cerro Azul 137 0
          Ixmiquilpan 1700 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Caratasco Honduras
          Puerto Lempire Honduras
          Islas Santanilla Honduras
          Cape Gracias A Dios Honduras
          Guanaja Island HNGJA Honduras
          Herrero Point Mexico
          Chetumal MXCTM Mexico
          Corozal Belize
          Campeche Mexico
          Sisal Mexico
          Cayo Arcas Terminal MXCAT Mexico
          Tuxpan MXTUX Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          La Soledad Apulco 1962
          Tenango Coacuila 1910
          Necaxa Necaxa 1909
          Chicayan Chicayan 1976
          Vicente Aguirre Alfajayucan 1950
          Zimapan Moctezuma 1994
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Sabancuy, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Aug 2017 21:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (50 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 07 Aug 2017 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          08 Aug 2017 21:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 21:00 Noham Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 20:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 20:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 20:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 21:00 Champoton Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 21:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 21:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.6
          10 Aug 2017 11:00 Laja Mexico  0.5
          10 Aug 2017 11:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.5
          10 Aug 2017 12:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.5
          08 Aug 2017 17:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.4
          08 Aug 2017 14:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.4
          08 Aug 2017 15:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.3
          10 Aug 2017 12:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 06:00 Ranas Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 04:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 04:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 06:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 03:00 Majahual Mexico  0.2
          09 Aug 2017 03:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
          09 Aug 2017 13:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
          09 Aug 2017 03:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 04:00 El Placer Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 06:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.2
          09 Aug 2017 00:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
          10 Aug 2017 11:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 11:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 11:00 Calderita Mexico  0.1
          09 Aug 2017 05:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
          09 Aug 2017 21:00 Celestum Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 12:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 12:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
          09 Aug 2017 04:00 Santeneja Belize  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 23:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 10:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 10:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
          09 Aug 2017 04:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
          09 Aug 2017 22:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 09:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 09:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 12:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 08:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 08:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 12:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 12:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
          07 Aug 2017 15:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.1
          07 Aug 2017 15:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
          07 Aug 2017 20:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.1