Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for TWELVE-24 in Vanuatu from 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC to 11 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24

in Vanuatu

11 Feb 2024 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Vanuatu
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	74 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (10 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	74 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 230000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	08 Feb 2024 00:00	93	140 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
2	08 Feb 2024 06:00	93	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
3	08 Feb 2024 12:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
4	08 Feb 2024 18:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
5	09 Feb 2024 00:00	74	270 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
6	09 Feb 2024 06:00	74	290 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
7	09 Feb 2024 12:00	74	260 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
8	09 Feb 2024 18:00	74	260 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
9	10 Feb 2024 00:00	74	230 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
10	10 Feb 2024 06:00	56	230 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
11	11 Feb 2024 00:00	65	230 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
12	11 Feb 2024 06:00	56	230 thousand	No people	Vanuatu

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	08 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-15.9, 162.5
2	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-15.8, 163.5
3	08 Feb 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-16, 164.2
4	08 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	6700 people	-15.6, 163.8
5	09 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	110000 people	-16.3, 165.1
6	09 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	240000 people	-16.9, 165.4
7	09 Feb 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	200000 people	-17.1, 166.3
8	09 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	200000 people	-17.3, 167.3
9	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	160000 people	-17.1, 168.4
10	10 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-16.7, 170.4
11	11 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-19.2, 174.2
12	11 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-18.9, 175
12	11 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-18.8, 176.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Vanuatu	170000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Vanuatu	Vanuatu	170000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Port-Vila		Vanuatu	Capital	36000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Lamap	LPM	unknown				0
Quine Hill	UIQ	unknown				0
Port Vila Bauerfield	VLI	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8500
Emae	EAE	unknown				0
Sangafa		2	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Epi	EPI	unknown				0
Valesdir	VLS	unknown				0
Ulei	ULB	unknown				0
Lamen Bay	LNB	unknown				0
South West Bay	SWJ	unknown				0
Craig Cove	CCV	unknown				0
Big Bay	GBA	unknown				0
Santo Pekoa International	SON	56	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Olpoi Nw Santo	OLJ	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Forari Bay		Vanuatu
Port Vila	VUVLI	Vanuatu
Ambryn Island		Vanuatu
Pentecost Island		Vanuatu
Port Sandwich	VUPSA	Vanuatu
Palikoulo Bay		Vanuatu
Santo	VUSAN	Vanuatu
Turtle Bay		Vanuatu
Hog Harbor		Vanuatu

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Malakof, Vanuatu. This height is estimated for 10 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (46 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 11 Feb 2024 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Malakof	Vanuatu	0.2
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Boloa	Vanuatu	0.2
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Mangita	Vanuatu	0.2
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Leman	Vanuatu	0.2
	10 Feb 2024 01:00	Leiwoma	Vanuatu	0.2
	09 Feb 2024 22:00	Nouville	New Caledonia	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 22:00	Noumea	New Caledonia	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 22:00	Comm. du Mont-Dore	New Caledonia	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Ponkovia	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Lamen	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Nekapa	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Nikaura	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Tavio	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Mate	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Marow	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 01:00	Moeriou	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 01:00	Mangarisu	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 21:00	Saint-Louis	New Caledonia	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Lamarou	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Paia	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Vaoleli	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Ignal	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Makatea	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 01:00	Lambukuti	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Halos	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 01:00	Kouroumanpe	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Dumbea	New Caledonia	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Plum	New Caledonia	0.1
	11 Feb 2024 01:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 20:00	Melip	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 20:00	Malfakhal	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 20:00	Faroun	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 20:00	Peskarus	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Burumba	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Valesdir	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Manpay	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Port-Havannah	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Sounai	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Utanlangi	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Votlo	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Nul	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Emua	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Laonomoa	Vanuatu	0.1
	10 Feb 2024 00:00	Filakara	Vanuatu	0.1
	09 Feb 2024 23:00	Onesoua	Vanuatu	0.1
	11 Feb 2024 12:00	Lautoka	Fiji	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.