Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PABLO-19 in Portugal from 25 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC to 28 Oct 2019 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PABLO-19

in Portugal

28 Oct 2019 03 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PABLO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Portugal
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (28 Oct 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 5700 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Oct 2019 21:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
2	26 Oct 2019 03:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
3	26 Oct 2019 09:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
4	26 Oct 2019 15:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
5	26 Oct 2019 21:00	93	10 thousand	No people	Portugal
6	27 Oct 2019 03:00	102	6 thousand	No people	Portugal
7	27 Oct 2019 09:00	111	6 thousand	No people	Portugal
8	27 Oct 2019 15:00	120	6 thousand	No people	Portugal
9	27 Oct 2019 21:00	130	6 thousand	No people	Portugal
10	28 Oct 2019 03:00	111	6 thousand	No people	Portugal

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.8, -32.2
2	26 Oct 2019 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.5, -31.1
3	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.3, -30.3
4	26 Oct 2019 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	150000 people	35.2, -28.1	Portugal
5	26 Oct 2019 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	13000 people	36.3, -25.6	Portugal
6	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	38.2, -22.6
7	27 Oct 2019 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	40.7, -20
8	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	42.8, -18.3
9	27 Oct 2019 21:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	44.7, -17.2
10	28 Oct 2019 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	46, -17.1
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	47, -17
10	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	48.2, -17.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Portugal

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Azores	Portugal

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Vila Do Porto	SMA	93	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Formigas Island		Portugal
Vila Do Porto	PTVDP	Portugal

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Ardgroom, Ireland. This height is estimated for 28 Oct 2019 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (147 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 28 Oct 2019 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ardgroom	Ireland	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Collorus	Ireland	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Dunquin	Ireland	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Portmagee	Ireland	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Castletownbere	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Crookhaven	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Goleen	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Dunmanus	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Toormore	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Rossbrin	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballinskelligs	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballynacallagh	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Schull	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Clynacartan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ventry	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Milltown	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Rianxo	Spain	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Villagarcia de Arousa	Spain	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Leap	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Unionhall	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Cahermore	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballydonegan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballynakilla	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Rerrin	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Caher	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballydehob	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Baltimore	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Creagh	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Skibbereen	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Chapeltown	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Knights Town	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	An Daingean	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Waterville	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Sneem	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballyconneely	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballinaboy	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ard	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Carna	Ireland	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Vila do Porto	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Sao Lourenco	Portugal	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Glandore	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Connonagh	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Reanascreena	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ross Carberry	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Rathbarry	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Lisavaird	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	North Ring	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Timoleague	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Butlerstown	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Courtmacsherry	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Caherdaniel	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Castlecove	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Curryglass	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballyroon	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Adrigole	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Smerwick	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballyferriter	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Cahirciveen	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Gerahies	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Kells	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Lispole	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Cloghane	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Stradbally	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Anascaul	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Killiney	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Castlegregory	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Dreenagh	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballyheige	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Cleggan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	An Clochan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Moyard	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Rinvyle	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Letterfrack	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Gowlaun	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Glinsk	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Crosshaven	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballycotton	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Garryvoe	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Shanagarry	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Youghal	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Dun Garbhan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Clonakilty	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Allihies	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Urhan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Eyeries	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballycrovane	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Kilcrohane	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Kilbrittain	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballinspittle	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Lispatrick	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Durrus	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Brandon	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballyquin	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Fahamore	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Kilbaha	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Roundstone	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Camp	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Killelton	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Fenit	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Onaght	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ardfert	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Spa	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Castleshannon	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Cross	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Kilkieran	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Lettermullan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Blennerville	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Tra Li	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Carrigaholt	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballybunion	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Kilronan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Killeany	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballyduff	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Derryrush	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Lettermore	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Kilkee	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Doonaha	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Beal	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Bealadangan	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Rosmuck	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Gortmore	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Carraroe	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Astee	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Rossaveel	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Costelloe	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Doonbeg	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Moyasta	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Inveran	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Quilty	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Spanish Point	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Mullagh	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Milltown Malbay	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Rinneen	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Liscannor	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Roadford	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Lahinch	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Dooagh	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Keel	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Dooega	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Camport	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Vilanova de Arousa	Spain	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Kinsale	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Whitegate	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Gyleen	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Churchtown	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ballymacoda	Ireland	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Ringville	Ireland	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.