Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for TWO-15
in India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
30 Jul 2015 06 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone TWO-15 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability High (India)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 83 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 73.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 29 Jul 2015 00:00 74 --- No people India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
        Orange 2 29 Jul 2015 06:00 74 --- No people India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
        Orange 3 29 Jul 2015 12:00 74 --- No people India, Bangladesh
        Orange 4 29 Jul 2015 18:00 83 --- No people India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
        Orange 5 30 Jul 2015 00:00 74 --- No people India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
        Green 6 30 Jul 2015 06:00 65 --- No people India, Bangladesh, Myanmar

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          ORANGE
          		 1 29 Jul 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 29.7 million people 21.2, 91.2 Bangladesh
          ORANGE
          		 2 29 Jul 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 13.1 million people 21.2, 91.4 Bangladesh
          ORANGE
          		 3 29 Jul 2015 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 17.8 million people 21.4, 91.2 Bangladesh
          ORANGE
          		 4 29 Jul 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 74.6 million people 21.6, 91.2 Bangladesh
          ORANGE
          		 5 30 Jul 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 80.5 million people 21.9, 91.2 Bangladesh
          GREEN
          		 6 30 Jul 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 22.5, 91.8 Bangladesh
          GREEN
          		 6 30 Jul 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.1, 91.3 Bangladesh
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Bangladesh 68.7 million people
          India 3.7 million people
          Myanmar 190000 people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Chittagong Bangladesh
          Tripura India
          Mizoram India
          Barisal Bangladesh
          Chin State Myanmar
          Arakan State Myanmar
          Dhaka Bangladesh
          Khulna Bangladesh

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Chittagong Chittagong Bangladesh Major city 2.5 million people
          Noakhali Chittagong Bangladesh City 100000 people
          Comilla Chittagong Bangladesh City -
          Chandpur Chittagong Bangladesh City 120000 people
          Barisal Barisal Bangladesh City 260000 people
          Agartala Tripura India City 200000 people
          Paletwa Chin Myanmar City -
          Munshiganj Dhaka Bangladesh City 120000 people
          Narayanganj Dhaka Bangladesh City 350000 people
          Dacca Dhaka Bangladesh Capital 8.4 million people
          Tungi Dhaka Bangladesh City 220000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Patenga CGP 4 Civ. Paved Yes 10000
          Coxs Bazar CXB 4 Civ. Paved Yes 6700
          Comilla CLA 8 0
          Barisal BZL 3 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
          Singerbhil IXA 17 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
          Khowai IXN unknown 0
          Kamalpur IXQ 45 Civ. Unpaved No 4500
          Dhaka Tejgaon 7 Mil. Paved Yes 2100
          Zia International Dhaka DAC 8 Civ. Paved Yes 10400

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Chittagong BDCGP Bangladesh
          Cox's Bazaar Bangladesh
          Elephant Point Bangladesh
          Narayanganj BDNAR Bangladesh
          Maungdaw Myanmar

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Barkal Karnafuli Karnafuli 1962
          Gumti Gumti 1976
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.