Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for TWO-15 in India, Bangladesh, Myanmar from 29 Jul 2015 00:00 UTC to 18:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for TWO-15

in India, Bangladesh, Myanmar

29 Jul 2015 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWO-15 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	1.5
Overall	83 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	1
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 148.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	29 Jul 2015 00:00	74	---	No people	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
2	29 Jul 2015 06:00	74	---	No people	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
3	29 Jul 2015 12:00	74	---	No people	India, Bangladesh
4	29 Jul 2015 18:00	83	---	No people	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	29 Jul 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	29.7 million people	21.2, 91.2	Bangladesh
2	29 Jul 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	13.1 million people	21.2, 91.4	Bangladesh
3	29 Jul 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	17.8 million people	21.4, 91.2	Bangladesh
4	29 Jul 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	74.6 million people	21.6, 91.2	Bangladesh
4	30 Jul 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	85.9 million people	22.2, 91.1	Bangladesh
4	30 Jul 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	127 million people	22.7, 90.4	Bangladesh
4	31 Jul 2015 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.2, 89.2	Bangladesh

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Bangladesh	104.5 million people
Myanmar	180000 people
India	43 million people

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Chittagong	Bangladesh
Barisal	Bangladesh
Arakan State	Myanmar
Khulna	Bangladesh
Chin State	Myanmar
Mizoram	India
Tripura	India
Dhaka	Bangladesh
West Bengal	India
Rajshahi	Bangladesh

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Chittagong	Chittagong	Bangladesh	Major city	2.5 million people
Noakhali	Chittagong	Bangladesh	City	100000 people
Barisal	Barisal	Bangladesh	City	260000 people
Paletwa	Chin	Myanmar	City	-
Chandpur	Chittagong	Bangladesh	City	120000 people
Comilla	Chittagong	Bangladesh	City	-
Khulna	Khulna	Bangladesh	Major city	1.2 million people
Munshiganj	Dhaka	Bangladesh	City	120000 people
Narayanganj	Dhaka	Bangladesh	City	350000 people
Dacca	Dhaka	Bangladesh	Capital	8.4 million people
Agartala	Tripura	India	City	200000 people
Satkhira	Khulna	Bangladesh	City	100000 people
Faridpur	Dhaka	Bangladesh	City	92000 people
Tungi	Dhaka	Bangladesh	City	220000 people
Jessore	Khulna	Bangladesh	City	-
Basirhat	West Bengal	India	City	110000 people
Bangaon	West Bengal	India	City	110000 people
Habra	West Bengal	India	City	130000 people
Kotchandpur	Khulna	Bangladesh	City	31000 people
Rajpur	West Bengal	India	City	340000 people
Barasat	West Bengal	India	City	240000 people
Dum Dum	West Bengal	India	City	120000 people
South Dum Dum	West Bengal	India	City	440000 people
North Dum Dum	West Bengal	India	City	230000 people
Kolkata	West Bengal	India	Major city	4.6 million people
Bally	West Bengal	India	City	300000 people
Rajarhat Gopalpur	West Bengal	India	City	330000 people
Barakpur	West Bengal	India	City	150000 people
Kanchrapara	West Bengal	India	City	130000 people
Tangail	Dhaka	Bangladesh	City	550000 people
Ranaghat	West Bengal	India	City	69000 people
Maheshtala	West Bengal	India	City	440000 people
Haora	West Bengal	India	City	990000 people
Pabna	Rajshahi	Bangladesh	City	160000 people
Santipur	West Bengal	India	City	-
Krishnanagar	West Bengal	India	City	140000 people
Chuadanga	Khulna	Bangladesh	City	110000 people
Navadwip	West Bengal	India	City	120000 people
Nator	Rajshahi	Bangladesh	City	87000 people
Rajshahi	Rajshahi	Bangladesh	City	1 million people
Berhampore	West Bengal	India	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Coxs Bazar	CXB	4	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6700
Patenga	CGP	4	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10000
Barisal	BZL	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Comilla	CLA	8				0
Khulna	KHL	unknown				0
Singerbhil	IXA	17	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000
Dhaka Tejgaon		7	Mil.	Paved	Yes	2100
Zia International Dhaka	DAC	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10400
Jessore	JSR	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7900
Khowai	IXN	unknown				0
Calcutta Netaji Subhas Chandra	CCU	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11900
Barrackpore		5				0
Ishurdi	IRD	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4700

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Cox's Bazaar		Bangladesh
Elephant Point		Bangladesh
Chittagong	BDCGP	Bangladesh
Maungdaw		Myanmar
Mongla	BDMGL	Bangladesh
Chalna	BDCHL	Bangladesh
Narayanganj	BDNAR	Bangladesh
Faridpur		Bangladesh
Port Canning		India
Howrah		India
Calcutta	INCCU	India
Budge-Budge	INBUD	India
Pabna		Bangladesh

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Barkal	Karnafuli	Karnafuli	1962
	Gumti	Gumti	1976

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.