Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for RAGASA-25
in Philippines, China

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone RAGASA-25 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001211
Name RAGASA-25
Glide number: TC-2025-000170-PHL
From - To 18 Sep - 24 Sep
Exposed countries Philippines, China
Exposed population 47.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 269 km/h Category 5
Maximum storm surge 3 m (24 Sep 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 269 km/h 3 m n.a. 2.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 281 km/h 2.6 m 877 mm 2.5
GFS 234 km/h 2.8 m 754 mm 2.5
ECMWF 205 km/h 2.1 m 613 mm 1.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
South-eastern Asia - Tropical cyclone RAGASA, update (ECHO 28 Sep 2025)Tue, 23 Sep 2025 10:34

  • Tropical cyclone RAGASA crossed the Babuyan Islands in the Luzon Strait, northern Philippines on 22 September and continued northwest over the South China Sea. On 23 September at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 340 km southwest of southern Taiwan, with maximum sustained winds of 231 km/h (typhoon).
  • Its passage over the northern Philippines, combined with the effects of tropical storm MITAG and the Southwest Monsoon, triggered flooding, landslides, and severe weather-related incidents. These events resulted in three fatalities, nine injured, nearly 200,000 affected, and over 36,000 displaced people across nine regions of the country.
  • RAGASA is forecast to continue its northwestward trajectory and make landfall along the southern coast of Guangdong Province, southeastern China during the early morning of 24 September. After that, it is expected to cross southern Guangxi Province, northern Vietnam, and northern Laos between 24–27 September, gradually weakening and dissipating.
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected across southern China, most of Taiwan, Vietnam, and Laos from 23–27 September.

 

China, Taiwan, Philippines, Viet Nam - Tropical cyclone RAGASA, update (ECHO 29 Sep 2025)Wed, 24 Sep 2025 10:48

  • On 23 September, typhoon RAGASA continued west over the South China Sea. On 24 September at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 90 km south of Macau, with maximum sustained winds of 204 km/h.
  • In the Philippines, the passage of RAGASA and MITAG, combined with the Southwest monsoon, caused heavy rainfall, floods, and landslides. DSWD DROMIC and PNA report, four fatalities, seven missing, 11 injured, 46,628 displaced, and 692,707 affected people. 
  • In Taiwan, RAGASA caused 14 fatalities and around 10,000 evacuated people. In China, its passage resulted in approximately 770,000 evacuated people in the Guangdong province and 60 injured and 727 evacuated people in Hong Kong.
  • RAGASA is expected to make landfall in the area of Shabagang city, south-western Guangdong province, just north of Hainan island, on 24 September, with maximum sustained winds up to 175 km/h. After that, it is forecast to continue west inland over the southern Guangxi province and northern Viet Nam on 25-26 September, weakening into a tropical storm.
  • Over the next 96 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over central and northern Philippines, southern China, most of Taiwan, and central and northern Viet Nam.
RAGASA-25 - EC/ECHO daily mapWed, 24 Sep 2025 18:53

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
South-eastern Asia - Tropical cyclone RAGASA, update (ECHO 30 Sep 2025)Thu, 25 Sep 2025 10:59

  • Typhoon RAGASA is dissipating over northern Vietnam after making landfall on the southeastern coast of Guangdong province in China. It brought very heavy rainfall and caused floods and landslides across the Philippines, Taiwan, China and Viet Nam.
  • In the Philippines, its passage resulted in 11 fatalities, over 690,000 people affected, and over 11,000 people still displaced. In Taiwan, 17 people died following the overflow of a landslide dam in Hualien County. In China, nearly 2 million people have been evacuated, primarily in Guangdong province, and thousands experienced power outages.
  • For the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall is still expected across most of the Philippines, southern and southeastern China, and northern Vietnam.
China, Taiwan, Viet Nam, Thailand - Tropical cyclone RAGASA, update (ECHO 01 Oct 2025)Fri, 26 Sep 2025 09:48

  • Tropical cyclone RAGASA and its remnants, after the passage over the South China Sea and Southeast Asia on 22-26 September, caused very heavy rainfall, strong winds, floods and landslides across southern Taiwan, southern China, northern Viet Nam, northern Laos and northern-central Thailand, resulting in casualties and damage.
  • In Taiwan, media report as of 26 September, 14 fatalities and 7 missing people due to the overflow of a landslide dam in Hualien county, eastern Taiwan. In China, its passage resulted in approximately 2 million evacuated people in the Guangdong and Guangxi provinces and 90 injured people in Hong Kong. In Viet Nam, an uncertain number of evacuated people in shelters were reported. In Thailand, its passage resulted in four fatalities and nearly 247,500 affected people.
  • Over the next 48 hours, very heavy rainfall is still forecast over southern China, most of Viet Nam, all of Laos and most of Thailand.
Philippines, China - Tropical cyclone MITAG and RAGASA, update (ECHO 24 Sep 2025)Fri, 19 Sep 2025 09:49

  • Tropical storm MITAG continued north-west over the South China Sea toward the southern Guangdong province, Southern China on 18 September, slightly strengthening. On 19 September at 0.00 UTC its centre was located approximately 165 km east of the Shenzhen city area, Guangdong province.
  • The passage of MITAG over central-northern Philippines caused very heavy rainfall, strong winds, floods and landslides. DSWD DROMIC reports, as of 19 September, nearly 8,200 displaced people, around 92,300 affected people, five destroyed and 11 damaged houses.
  • Meanwhile, a new tropical cyclone named RAGASA ("Nando" in the Philippines) formed over the Philippine Sea on 18 September and started moving north-west toward northern Philippines. On 19 September at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 950 km east of northern Luzon as a tropical storm. It is forecast to strengthen and to pass over the Babuyan and the Batanes islands, far northern Philippines on 22 September, with maximum sustained winds up to 222 km/h (typhoon).
  • Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over central and northern Philippines and southern China.
Philippines, China, Taiwan - Tropical cyclones MITAG and RAGASA, update (ECHO 27 Sep 2025)Mon, 22 Sep 2025 10:29

  • Tropical cyclone RAGASA continued north-west over the Philippine Sea on 21 September toward northern Philippines, strengthening. On 22 September at 3.00 UTC, its centre was located over the Luzon Strait and the Babuyan islands, with maximum sustained winds of 269 km/h (super typhoon).
  • The passage of RAGASA and the passage of the previous tropical storm MITAG over central-northern Luzon island, northern Philippines on 16-17 September, combined with the ongoing Southwest monsoon, caused very heavy rainfall, strong winds, floods, landslides and severe weather-related incidents. Taiwan was also affected by the severe weather.
  • DSWD DROMIC and the PNA report, as of 22 September, 6,941 displaced and 113,094 affected people, seven destroyed and 14 damaged houses. Media report seven fatalities and a number of missing people due to MITAG. Moreover, 300 preventively evacuated people in southern Taiwan due to RAGASA have been reported.
  • RAGASA is expected to continue westward over the South China Sea, slightly weakening, and to make landfall over the southern Guangdong province, southern China, on 24 September.
  • Over the next 96 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over central and northern Philippines, southern China and most of Taiwan.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2025. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

FLASH UPDATE: No. 03 – Tropical Cyclones RAGASA & BUALOI – 25 Septembe.. 9/26/2025 1:39:00 AM.

OVERVIEW: According to NCHMF , Tropical Cyclone RAGASA has weakened into a low pressure area this afternoon and continues to weaken over Quang Ninh area in Northern Viet Nam. Meanwhile, according to PAGASA , as of 25 September 2025 at 1900H
...(more)
Super Typhoon Ragasa claimed lives in Taiwan. 9/24/2025 7:39:00 AM.

24.09.2025 10:36 Due to the Super Typhoon Ragasa that struck Taiwan, 14 people lost their lives, 18 were injured, and 30 are missing. The flooding caused significant damage in Hualien County, and more than a thousand people were evacuated.
...(more)
Philippines, China, Taiwan - Tropical cyclones MITAG and RAGASA, updat.. 9/23/2025 7:55:00 PM.

Tropical cyclone RAGASA continued north-west over the Philippine Sea on 21 September toward northern Philippines, strengthening. On 22 September at 3.00 UTC, its centre was located over the Luzon Strait and the Babuyan islands, with maximum
...(more)
Nando exits PAR 9/23/2025 2:15:00 AM.

Super Typhoon Nando has left the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), according to PAGASA. "As of 8:00 AM today, 23 September 2025, Super Typhoon "RAGASA" {formerly "NANDO"} has exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)," PAGAS
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),