Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for LIDIA-23
in Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone LIDIA-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001019
Name LIDIA-23
Glide number: TC-2023-000187-MEX
From - To 03 Oct - 11 Oct
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 840 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 204 km/h Category 3
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (11 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 56 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 216 km/h 0.6 m 358 mm 2.5
GFS 148 km/h 0.6 m 1017 mm 0.5
ECMWF 126 km/h 0.8 m 704 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mexico - Tropical cyclone LIDIA (ECHO 09 Oct 2023)Mon, 09 Oct 2023 11:07

  • A new tropical cyclone named LIDIA formed over the eastern North Pacific Ocean on 3 October and started moving toward central-western Mexico as a tropical storm, streghtening. On 9 October at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located over the Ocean approximately 840 km south-west of the eastern coast of Nayarit State, with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h (tropical storm).
  • LIDIA is forecast to make landfall in the area between Tepic City (Nayarit State) and Puerto Vallarta City (northern Jalisco State) on 11 October very early in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 155-160 km/h (Cat. 2 Hurricane).
  • On 10-12 October, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast over Nayarit, Sinaloa, Jalisco and Baja California Sur States. NOAA has issued an hurricane watch over Nayarit and northern Jalisco States.
LIDIA-23 - EC/ECHO daily mapTue, 10 Oct 2023 17:16

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
Mexico - Tropical cyclone LIDIA, update (ECHO 11 Oct 2023)Wed, 11 Oct 2023 10:17

  • Tropical cyclone LIDIA made landfall just south of coastal City of Puerto Vallarta (western Jalisco State, bordering with southern Nayarit State) on 11 October very early in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 200 km/h (Cat. 3 Hurricane). On 11 October at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located inland approximately 30 km south of the Temastian Town (northern Jalisco State), with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h (tropical storm).
  • Media report, as of 11 October, one fatality across the Puerto Vallarta City area.
  • On 11 October, LIDIA is forecast to continue moving northeastward inland over northern Jalisco and southern Zacatecas States, further weakening.
  • Over the next 24 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast over Nayarit, Sinaloa, Jalisco and Baja California Sur States. A tropical storm warning issued by NOAA is still in force over the coastal area of the aforementioned States.
Mexico - Tropical cyclone LIDIA, update (ECHO 12 Oct 2023)Thu, 12 Oct 2023 10:52

  • After the landfall just south of coastal City of Puerto Vallarta in western Jalisco State, bordering with southern Nayarit State, on 11 October as Cat. 3 Hurricane, LIDIA downgraded as a tropical storm and continued northeastward over northern Jalisco and southern Zacatecas States, further weakening and dissipating in the afternoon (UTC) on 11 October.
  • Media report, as of 12 October, two fatalities, of which one across Jalisco State and one more in Nayarit State, two injured people, a number of blocked roads and some closed schools across the affected area.
  • Over the next 48 hours, very heavy rainfall is still forecast over central and western Mexico. NOAA has discontinued all warnings for the Pacific coast of the country.
Mexico - Tropical cyclone LIDIA, update (ECHO 13 Oct 2023)Fri, 13 Oct 2023 09:54

  • After passing over the coastal City of Puerto Vallarta, western Jalisco State, bordering with southern Nayarit State on 11 October as Cat. 3 Hurricane, the remnants of LIDIA caused heavy rainfall across western and central Mexico on 11-12 October.
  • Media report, as of 13 October, five fatalities across Jalisco State and Nayarit State. A number of landslides were also reported in the area of Puerto Vallarta.
  • Over the next 24 hours, more rainfall is still forecast over the coastal area of western Mexico.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

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Messico, 14 ottobre 2023. L'uragano Lidia , categoria 4 su 5 della scala Saffir-Simpson, ha raggiunto nei giorni scsorsi il Messico con venti a circa 220 km orari. L'uragano definito "estremamente pericoloso" e formatosi sull'Oceano Pacific
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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),