Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NARDA-19
in Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone NARDA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000610
Name NARDA-19
From - To 28 Sep - 01 Oct
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 56 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
GFS n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
ECMWF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mexico - Tropical Cyclone NARDA (ECHO 30 Sep 2019)Mon, 30 Sep 2019 13:08

  • Tropical Cyclone NARDA is moving north-northwest over the southern Gulf of California. On 30 September at 6.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 70 km north-west of Puerto Vallarta City (Jalisco State), with maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h (tropical depression).
  • NARDA is forecast pass very close to the Islas Marias archipelago and approach north-west Mexico, with maximum sustained winds up to 55 km/h.
  • According to media reprots, as of 30 September, one person died and thousands were evacuated in Oaxaca State. Several roads have been flooded and schools in Puerto Vallarta City have been suspended.
  • A tropical storm warning is in effect from San Blas (Nayarit State) to Topolobampo (Sinaloa State). Heavy rainfall with thunderstorms and strong winds are forecast across western Guerrero, Jalisco, Sinaloa, Oaxaca and Nayarit States.
Mexico - Tropical Cyclone NARDA (ECHO 01 Oct 2019)Tue, 01 Oct 2019 13:07

  • Tropical Cyclone NARDA continues north-west over the western coast of Sinaloa state. On 1 October at 6.00 UTC, its centre was  inland 44 km north-west of Los Mochis City (Sinaloa state), with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h (tropical storm).
  • NARDA is expected to weaken as it moves across the northwestern mainland Mexico, with maximum sustained winds up to 65 km/h, bringing heavy rain and strong winds.
  • Widespread flooding has been reported across several states, including Oaxaca, where 2 people died and thousands were evacuated.
  • A tropical storm warning is in effect from Altata (Sinaloa State) to Guaymas City (Sonora State). Heavy rain, thunderstorms and strong winds are forecast across western and northwestern states.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 114 | About casualties: 0 | Last hour: 0

Tropical storm 'Narda' destroys three shrimp farms in the state of Col ... Thu, 03 Oct 2019 17:22:00 +0200.

Tropical storm Narda affected the states of Colima, Jalisco and Nayarit. Tropical storm 'Narda' destroys three shrimp farms in the state of Colima. Thursday, October 03, 2019, 20:40 (GMT + 9) They are the most important in production; they
...(more)
Guatemala: Natural Disasters Monitoring - September 30, 2019Wed, 02 Oct 2019 22:58:00 +0200.

Official Sources. Severe Weather. Dominican Republic. On 30 September 2019, the Dominican Republic Emergency Operations Center (COE) issued a yellow alert for the following provinces: La Vega, Santiago, and San Juan, due to heavy rain and t
...(more)
Narda dissipates, but still likely to bring rain to USWed, 02 Oct 2019 00:01:00 +0200.

MEXICO CITY (AP) — Tropical Storm Narda dissipated Tuesday after soaking hundreds of miles of the Mexican coastline in recent days, but forecasters said its remnants were likely to dump rain across parts of northwestern Mexico and the U.S.
...(more)
Narda dissipates, but still likely to bring rain to USTue, 01 Oct 2019 23:27:00 +0200.

MEXICO CITY - Tropical Storm Narda dissipated Tuesday after soaking hundreds of miles of the Mexican coastline in recent days, but forecasters said its remnants were likely to dump rain across parts of northwestern Mexico and the U.S. South
...(more)

View more news

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),