Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENZO-19
in Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom, , United States, Bermuda

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone LORENZO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000608
Name LORENZO-19
From - To 23 Sep - 02 Oct
Exposed countries Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom, , United States, Bermuda
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 1.8 m (04 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 130 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
GFS 216 km/h 1.1 m 375 mm 0.5
ECMWF 155 km/h 1.1 m 918 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Portugal (Azores) - Tropical Cyclone LORENZO (ECHO 30 Sep 2019)Mon, 30 Sep 2019 13:08

  • Tropical Cyclone LORENZO continued north-northeast over the North Atlantic Ocean. On 30 September at 3.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 1,850 km south-west of the Azores (Portugal), with maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h (Category 2 hurricane).
  • LORENZO should pass very close to Flores Island on 2 October with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h (Category 2 hurricane).
  • A hurricane watch is in effect for central and western Azores as well as a tropical storm watch for eastern Azores.
  • Regional Civil Protection Services have put in place measures to cope, including by strengthening their operational response.
Portugal (Azores) - Tropical Cyclone LORENZO update (ECHO 01 Oct 2019)Tue, 01 Oct 2019 13:07

  • Tropical Cyclone LORENZO continued north-east over the North Atlantic Ocean toward the Azores. On 1 October at 3.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 1,200 km south-west of Flores Island, with maximum sustained winds of 167 km/h (Category 2 hurricane).
  • LORENZO is forecast to continue north-east and to pass approximatley 70km east of Flores Island early on 2 October, with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h (Category 2).
  • Heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge are forecast over the Azores, particularly over central and western islands for 1-2 October. An hurricane warning is in effect for central and western Azores, as well as a tropical storm warning for eastern Azores.
Portugal (Azores), Ireland - Tropical Cyclone LORENZO update (ECHO 02 Oct 2019)Wed, 02 Oct 2019 13:03

  • Tropical Cyclone LORENZO continued north-east over the North Atlantic Ocean toward Flores and Corvo Islands (western Azores, Portugal). On 2 October at 3.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 125 km west-southwest of Flores, with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h (Category 2 hurricane).
  • According to media reports, local authorities have ordered schools and government offices to close as a precaution, and numerous roads are already closed.
  • LORENZO is expected to pass very close to Flores and Corvo (approximately 80 km west) on 2 October in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds of 140-155 km/h before weakening to Category 1 as it approaches the west coast of Ireland on 4 October with maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h.
  • A hurricane warning is in effect for central and western Azores as well as a tropical storm warning for eastern Azores.
Ireland, United Kingdom - Extra-Tropical Cyclone LORENZO update (ECHO 04 Oct 2019)Fri, 04 Oct 2019 13:09

  • Extra-Tropical Cyclone LORENZO passed over Donegal and Northern Ireland late in the evening of 3 October. It is now moving across the Irish Sea towards northern Wales and south Liverpool.
  • Schools are closed in Galway, Mayo, Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick and several flights were canceled in Dublin airport.
  • Heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge is forecast over central-east Ireland as well as heavy rain and strong winds over northern Wales, central England and southern Scotland.
LORENZO-19 - Copernicus EMS activation (EMSR395)Mon, 07 Oct 2019 13:02

EMSR395: Copernicus Emergency Management Service has been activated
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EMSR (2), EC-JRC (38), (2), INFORM (2),