Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MICHAEL-18
in United States, Cuba

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone MICHAEL-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000517
Name MICHAEL-18
From - To 06 Oct - 12 Oct
Exposed countries United States, Cuba
Exposed population 1.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h Category 4
Maximum storm surge 2.3 m (10 Oct 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Cuba)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 111 km/h 2.3 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
GFS 175 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
USA - Hurricane MICHAEL update (ECHO 11 Oct 2018)Thu, 11 Oct 2018 13:00

  • Tropical cyclone MICHAEL made landfall over Florida Panhandle east of Panama City on 10 October afternoon UTC as Category 4 hurricane. It then continued north-east, crossing north-western Florida and Georgia, weakening. 
  • Over the next 24 hours, heavy rain, storm surge and strong winds may continue to affect several areas of Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. As of 11 October, a storm surge warning is in effect for Panama city Florida to Keaton Beach Florida. A tropical storm warning is in effect for north of Fernandina Beach Florida to Duck North Carolina, Pamlico and Albermarle Sounds. Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida to Anclote River Florida.
  • According to local media, as of 11 October, over 370 000 people have been ordered to evacuate.
  • Following a request for support from the United States' Federal Emergency management Agency, DG ECHO's Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) requested the production of satellite maps through the Copernicus Emergency Management Service.
USA - Hurricane MICHAEL update (ECHO 10 Oct 2018)Wed, 10 Oct 2018 12:59

  • Tropical cyclone MICHAEL continued north-north-east toward Florida State (USA), strengthening. On 10 October at 6.00 UTC its was 290 km south-south-west of Panama (Florida, USA) with maximum sustained winds of 210 km/h (Category 4 hurricane). 
  • Over the next 24 hours, its centre is expected to make landfall over Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Beng on 10 October afternoon UTC probably as a Category 4 hurricane. Heavy rain, storm surge and strong winds may affect several areas of Florida Panhandle, south-east Alabama and south-west Georgia. A hurricane warning is in effect, as of 10 October, from the Alabama/Florida border to the Suwannee River Florida. A storm surge warning is in effect for Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida to Anclote River Florida.
Mexico, Cuba, USA - Tropical Cyclone MICHAEL UPDATE (ECHO 09 Oct 2018)Tue, 09 Oct 2018 12:56

  • Tropical cyclone MICHAEL continued moving north toward Florida State (USA) over the north-western Caribbean Sea, strengthening. On 9 October at 6.00 UTC its centre was located 685 km south of Apalachicola (Florida, USA), with maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h (hurricane).
  • It is forecast to make landfall close or over Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on 10 October morning UTC, probably as an intense hurricane. A hurricane warning is in effect for Alabama/Florida border to the Suwannee River Florida, and the Cuban province of Pinar del Rio. A storm surge warning is in effect for Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida to Anclote River Florida. 
Mexico, Cuba, USA - Tropical cyclone MICHAEL (ECHO 08 Oct 2018)Mon, 08 Oct 2018 12:59

  • Tropical cyclone Michael, which formed over the north-western Caribbean Sea on 6 October, severely affected Central America over the weekend, and started moving north toward Florida state (USA) as a tropical depression. On 8 October at 6.00 UTC its centre was located 155 km east-south-east of Cozumel (Mexico) and 210 km south south-southwest of western Cuba. It had maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h (tropical storm).
  • Over the next 24 hours, it is expected to continue moving north over the Gulf of Mexico toward Florida and strengthening.
  • As of 8 October, a tropical storm warning is in effect for the Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and the Isle of Youth as well as for the coast of Mexico from Tulum to Cabo Catoche, including Cozumel.

Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Trump marvels at damage from Hurricane Michael in Florida 10/16/2018 8:48:00 AM.

LYNN HAVEN, Fla. President Trump marveled at the roofless homes and uprooted trees he saw Monday while touring Florida Panhandle communities ravaged by the force of Hurricane Michael. Trump toured devastated coastal communities by air, land
...(more)
L'Arabie saoudite en passe de reconnaître la mort de Khashoggi 10/16/2018 8:41:00 AM.

L' Arabie saoudite se prépare à faire une annonce reconnaissant que le journaliste Jamal Khashoggi est décédé des suites d'un interrogatoire qui aurait mal tourné, rapporte la chaîne d'information américaine CNN citant deux sources, lundi.
...(more)
No cellphones, no gas: No end to misery in hurricane zone 10/16/2018 8:35:00 AM.

PANAMA CITY, USA (AP) — Residents of hurricane-ravaged communities in Florida's Panhandle turned to volunteers and each other for help yesterday, the fifth day without cell service, electricity or, in many cases, shelter. Trevor Lewis, a me
...(more)
46 missing in Fla. town hit by Hurricane Michael 1 hour ago 10/16/2018 8:06:00 AM.

MEXICO BEACH, Fla. -- At least 46 people remained unaccounted for on Sunday in Mexico Beach, Florida, an area pulverized by Hurricane Michael, the city's mayor told ABC News. Mayor Al Cathey said that 289 people, including 10 children, deci
...(more)

View more news

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EMSR (2), EC-JRC (38), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),