Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for AVA-18
in Madagascar

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone AVA-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000429
Name AVA-18
Glide number: TC-2018-000001-MDG
From - To 02 Jan - 09 Jan
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 1.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h Category 2
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (05 Jan 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 65 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 66 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
GFS 105 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF 111 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Toamasina 5 jours après son passage 1/12/2018 7:56:00 AM.

Toamasina a été la première grande ville victime du passage du cyclone Ava. Frappée de plein fouet, les infrastructures de la ville portuaire sont détruites à près de 90% selon les informations. De très nombreux quartiers populaires sont so
...(more)
Farafangana – Les crues happent dix personnes 1/12/2018 7:23:00 AM.

Longeant à bord d’une embarcation le fleuve Manambavihy, dix perso-nnes ont été emportées par le courant. Trois d’entre elles ont péri. Un décès qui entraîne trois autres. Un drame a frappé dix personnes d’une même famille, revenant d’un en
...(more)
Le cyclone Ava a fait près de 140 000 sinistrés 1/11/2018 9:23:00 PM.

Le passage du cyclone Ava sur la Grande Ile a fait environ 140 000 sinistrés au total et une trentaine de morts d’après un bilan encore provisoire. Plusieurs hectares de rizières ont été inondés, et des infrastructures endommagées. Les auto
...(more)
eNCA | Madagascar's cyclone Ava death toll hits 36 1/11/2018 10:20:00 AM.

File: The cyclone that slammed into Madagascar last week has claimed 36 lives. Photo: Handout / NASA / AFP. ANTANANARIVO - The cyclone that slammed into Madagascar last week has claimed a total of 36 lives, with 20,000 people displaced b
...(more)

View more news

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Analytical products

Daily Maps:

12/Jan/2018 05:53 UTC

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EMSR (2), UNOSAT (1), EC-JRC (38), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),