Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KRATHON-24
in China, Philippines, Taiwan

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone KRATHON-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001105
Name KRATHON-24
From - To 27 Sep - 03 Oct
Exposed countries China, Philippines, Taiwan
Exposed population 4.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h Category 4
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (01 Oct 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 46 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 187 km/h 0.9 m 995 mm 0.5
GFS 202 km/h 1 m 1274 mm 1.5
ECMWF 144 km/h 1 m 1389 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines, Taiwan - Tropical cyclone KRATHON (ECHO 05 Oct 2024)Mon, 30 Sep 2024 10:40

  • A new tropical cyclone named KRATHON (termed "Julian" in the Philippines) formed over the northern Philippine Sea on 27 September early in the morning (UTC) and started moving north-west toward the Luzon Strait (between northern Philippines and southern Taiwan), strenghtening. On 30 September at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore over the Luzon Strait approximately 160 km south of the far southern Taiwan coast and 205 km north of the far northern Luzon (northern Philippines), with maximum sustained winds of approximately 200 km/h (typhoon).
  • KRATHON is expected to continue northwestward over the sea on 30 September - 2 October, strenghtening. After that it is forecast to make lanfall over the Kaohsiung city area (south-western Taiwan) on 2 October early in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 204 km/h (typhoon).
  • Over the next 96 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storms surges are forecast over northern Luzon and the whole Taiwan.
Philippines, Taiwan - Tropical Cyclone KRATHON, update (ECHO 06 Oct 2024)Tue, 01 Oct 2024 09:55

  • Tropical cyclone KRATHON (called "Julian" in the Philippines) crossed the Batanes islands, Philippines on 30 September and continued west-northwest over the northern South China Sea. On 1 October at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 176 km south-west of Hengchun city, southern Taiwan, with maximum sustained winds of approximately 198 km/h (typhoon).
  • After its passage over the northern Philippines, KRATHON brought heavy rainfall and strong winds that resulted in floods and severe weather-related incidents. The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council of Philippines (NDRRMC) reports almost 2,000 displaced people and more than 77,200 affected across the regions of Ilocos, Cagayan Valley and Cordillera. 
  • In Taiwan, the authorities preventively evacuated more than 500 people living in mountainous regions prone to landslides. 
  • KRATHON is forecast to change direction moving north-east towards the south-eastern coasts of Taiwan on 1 October, after that it could make landfall over the coast of Tainan municipality area on 3 October.
  • For the next 72 hours, heavy to very heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected across most of central and southern Taiwan, Babuyan and Batanes islands, Philippines. 
Philippines, Taiwan - Tropical cyclone KRATHON, update (ECHO 07 Oct 2024)Wed, 02 Oct 2024 12:13

  • Tropical cyclone KRATHON (named "Julian" in the Philippines) continue northwestward over the Luzon Strait (between northern Philippines and southern Taiwan) on 1 October, as a typhoon. On 2 October at 3.00 UTC its centre was located offshore over the Luzon Strait approximately 120 km south-west of the Kaohsiung city area, south-western Taiwan, with maximum sustained winds of approximately 205 km/h (typhoon).
  • Its passage very close to the northern Philippines over 29-30 September caused heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges resulted in floods and a number of severe weather-related incidents. NDRRMC reports, as of 2 October, one person still missing, eight injured people, more than 5,400 displaced people (of which 2,176 in 58 evacuation centres) and a total of over 149,000 affected people across northern Luzon island.
  • KRATHON is expected to make landfall over the Kaohsiung city area on 2 October in the evening (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 167 km/h (typhoon).
  • Over the next 48 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storms surges are forecast over the whole Taiwan.
KRATHON-24 - EC/ECHO daily mapWed, 02 Oct 2024 18:16

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
Philippines, Taiwan - Tropical cyclone KRATHON, update (ECHO 08 Oct 2024)Thu, 03 Oct 2024 11:01

  • Tropical cyclone KRATHON (named "Julian" in the Philippines) made landfall over the Kaohsiung city area, far south-western Taiwan on 3 October very early in the morning (UTC). On 3 October at 6.00 UTC its centre was located inland just over the the Kaohsiung city area (south-western Taiwan), with maximum sustained winds of 126 km/h (typhoon).
  • Its passage very close to the northern Philippines over 29-30 September caused heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges resulted in floods and a number of severe weather-related incidents. The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council of Philippines (NDRRMC) reports, as of 3 October, one fatality, one person missing, eight injured, 5,251 displaced and a total of nearly 200,000 affected people across northern Luzon island. In Taiwan, media and the Central Emergency Operations centre report two fatalities, 219 injured, one missing and 10,208 persons evacuated.
  • KRATHON is expected to continue northward inland over Kaohsiung, Tainan, Chiayi and Yunlin Counties, western Taiwan on 3-4 October, weakening into a tropical storm.
  • Over the next 48 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storms surges are forecast over the whole Taiwan.
Taiwan, Philippines - Tropical Cyclone KRATHON, update (ECHO 09 Oct 2024)Fri, 04 Oct 2024 10:41

  • Tropical cyclone KRATHON made landfall over the Kaohsiung city area, far south-western Taiwan on 3 October very early in the morning (UTC) and on 4 October became a tropical depression and dissipated over central Taiwan.
  • In Taiwan following its passage, media report two fatalities, one still missing person and nearly 500 injured people. 
  • In the Philippines, according to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC), three people died, eight have been injureed and one person is still missing after KRATHON crossed the northern regions on 29-30 September. Moreover, more than 219,000 people have been affected across three regions.
  • For the next 24 hours, moderate rain is still expected across most parts of Taiwan and northern Philippines.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

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Un automóvil pasa junto a un árbol caído mientras el tifón Krathon se acerca a Kaohsiung el 3 de octubre de 2024. Taiwán cerró escuelas y oficinas por segundo día cuando el tifón Krathon azotó la isla antes de su llegada prevista a tierra,
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Philippines, Taiwan - Tropical cyclone KRATHON, update (GDACS, NOAA Ea.. 10/3/2024 11:40:00 AM.

Tropical cyclone KRATHON (named "Julian" in the Philippines) made landfall over the Kaohsiung city area, far south-western Taiwan on 3 October very early in the morning (UTC). On 3 October at 6.00 UTC its centre was located inland just over
...(more)
Philippines, Taiwan - Tropical cyclone KRATHON, update (GDACS, NOAA Ea.. 10/2/2024 12:40:00 PM.

Tropical cyclone KRATHON (named "Julian" in the Philippines) continue northwestward over the Luzon Strait (between northern Philippines and southern Taiwan) on 1 October, as a typhoon. On 2 October at 3.00 UTC its centre was located offshor
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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),