Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASNA-24
in Pakistan, India

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Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (ASNA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (ASNA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 22.1N 61.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N 61.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 21.2N 61.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 21.9N 61.7E.
01SEP24. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A (ASNA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 196
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A FULLY DECOUPLED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BECOMING
INCREASINGLY ELONGATED AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS. ISOLATED CONVECTION IS
SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHWEST, WITH THE SYSTEM ENGULFED IN A VERY DRY
ENVIRONMENT. TC 02A WILL CONTINUE TRACKING GENERALLY SOUTHWARD AND IS
FORECASTED TO DISSIPATE BY TAU 12. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT SUPPORTING THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 011200Z IS 992
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 16 FEET.//
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