Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DAMREY-23 in Japan from 23 Aug 2023 00:00 UTC to 28 Aug 2023 06:00 UTC

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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMREY-23

in Japan

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

28/08 16:11 WTJP32RJTD281500

28/08 10:13 WTJP32RJTD280900

28/08 03:45 WTJP32RJTD280300

27/08 21:43 WTJP32RJTD272100

27/08 15:44 WTJP32RJTD271500

27/08 12:43 WTJP22RJTD271200

27/08 09:42 WTJP32RJTD270900

27/08 06:40 WTJP22RJTD270600

27/08 03:43 WTJP32RJTD270300

27/08 00:47 WTJP22RJTD270000

26/08 21:42 WTJP32RJTD262100

26/08 18:41 WTJP22RJTD261800

26/08 15:42 WTJP32RJTD261500

26/08 12:42 WTJP22RJTD261200

26/08 09:41 WTPQ51RJTD260900

26/08 07:23 WTPQ31RJTD260600

26/08 06:41 WTPQ51RJTD260600

26/08 06:41 WTJP22RJTD260600

26/08 03:41 WTPQ51RJTD260300

26/08 01:45 WTPQ31RJTD260000

26/08 00:44 WTPQ51RJTD260000

26/08 00:43 WTJP22RJTD260000

25/08 21:41 WTPQ51RJTD252100

25/08 19:45 WTPQ31RJTD251800

25/08 18:46 WTPQ51RJTD251800

25/08 18:45 WTJP22RJTD251800

25/08 15:46 WTPQ51RJTD251500

25/08 13:21 WTPQ31RJTD251200

25/08 12:41 WTPQ51RJTD251200

25/08 12:40 WTJP22RJTD251200

25/08 09:41 WTPQ51RJTD250900

25/08 07:32 WTPQ31RJTD250600

25/08 06:41 WTPQ51RJTD250600

25/08 06:40 WTJP22RJTD250600

25/08 03:41 WTPQ51RJTD250300

25/08 01:46 WTPQ31RJTD250000

25/08 01:03 WTPQ51RJTD250000

25/08 01:03 WTJP22RJTD250000

24/08 22:02 WTPQ51RJTD242100

24/08 20:47 WTPQ31RJTD241800

24/08 19:28 WTPQ51RJTD241800

24/08 19:27 WTJP22RJTD241800

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 281500
WARNING 281500.
WARNING VALID 291500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
985 HPA
AT 40.6N 148.1E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290300UTC AT 41.2N 154.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291500UTC AT 41.0N 163.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
984 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 280900
WARNING 280900.
WARNING VALID 290900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 40.3N 146.3E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 282100UTC AT 41.1N 151.6E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290900UTC AT 41.1N 158.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 280300
WARNING 280300.
WARNING VALID 290300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 39.2N 144.6E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 40.9N 148.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290300UTC AT 41.3N 154.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 272100
WARNING 272100.
WARNING VALID 282100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 37.8N 144.1E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 40.1N 146.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 282100UTC AT 41.1N 151.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 271500
WARNING 271500.
WARNING VALID 281500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 36.6N 144.3E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 39.0N 144.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 40.6N 148.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 271200
WARNING 271200.
WARNING VALID 281200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 35.6N 144.6E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 23 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 38.3N 143.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 40.3N 146.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 40.6N 158.4E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
984 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 270900
WARNING 270900.
WARNING VALID 280900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 34.8N 145.3E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 25 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 37.8N 143.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 39.8N 145.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 270600
WARNING 270600.
WARNING VALID 280600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 33.7N 145.7E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 25 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 37.0N 143.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 39.3N 145.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 40.9N 155.1E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 40.4N 173.0E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 270300
WARNING 270300.
WARNING VALID 280300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 32.7N 146.6E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 25 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 36.4N 144.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 38.9N 144.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 270000
WARNING 270000.
WARNING VALID 280000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 990 HPA
AT 31.7N 147.5E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 25 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 35.6N 144.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 38.3N 144.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 41.2N 152.3E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 40.5N 168.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 262100
WARNING 262100.
WARNING VALID 272100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 985 HPA
AT 30.2N 148.7E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 23 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 34.8N 145.3E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 37.8N 144.2E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 261800
WARNING 261800.
WARNING VALID 271800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 985 HPA
AT 29.4N 149.5E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHWEST 22
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 33.8N 145.8E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 37.1N 143.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 41.4N 149.6E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 41.0N 165.4E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 261500
WARNING 261500.
WARNING VALID 271500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 985 HPA
AT 28.2N 150.8E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHWEST 20
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 32.6N 146.7E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 36.3N 144.2E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 261200
WARNING 261200.
WARNING VALID 271200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 985 HPA
AT 27.4N 151.3E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHWEST 19
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 31.5N 147.4E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 35.5N 144.5E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 40.7N 146.9E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 41.1N 160.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 260900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260900UTC 26.6N 151.9E FAIR
MOVE NW 22KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 262100UTC 30.4N 148.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE NW 25KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 270900UTC 34.7N 145.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW 25KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 280600UTC 40.0N 145.1E 115NM 70%
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 290600UTC 41.8N 155.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE ENE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 300600UTC 40.6N 173.6E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DAMREY IS LOCATED AT 26.1N, 152.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT36. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE EAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT60. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND
INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260600UTC 26.1N 152.9E FAIR
MOVE NNW 20KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 261800UTC 29.3N 149.4E 45NM 70%
MOVE NW 22KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 270600UTC 33.7N 145.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW 27KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 280600UTC 40.0N 145.1E 115NM 70%
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 290600UTC 41.8N 155.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE ENE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 300600UTC 40.6N 173.6E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 260600
WARNING 260600.
WARNING VALID 270600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 985 HPA
AT 26.1N 152.9E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 20
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 29.3N 149.4E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 33.7N 145.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 40.0N 145.1E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 41.8N 155.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 40.6N 173.6E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 260300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260300UTC 25.1N 153.7E FAIR
MOVE NNW 20KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 261500UTC 27.9N 150.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE NW 21KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 270300UTC 32.1N 147.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW 25KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 280000UTC 38.8N 144.6E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNW 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 290000UTC 42.1N 152.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 300000UTC 41.6N 169.7E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DAMREY IS LOCATED AT 24.4N, 153.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT36. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE EAST UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, REDUCED TCHP
AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT60 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN
ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 24.4N 153.8E FAIR
MOVE NNW 20KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 261200UTC 27.1N 151.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE NW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 270000UTC 31.0N 147.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 280000UTC 38.8N 144.6E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNW 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 290000UTC 42.1N 152.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 300000UTC 41.6N 169.7E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 260000
WARNING 260000.
WARNING VALID 270000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 994 HPA
AT 24.4N 153.8E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 20
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 27.1N 151.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 31.0N 147.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 38.8N 144.6E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 42.1N 152.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 41.6N 169.7E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 23.8N 154.1E FAIR
MOVE NNW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260900UTC 26.5N 151.8E 45NM 70%
MOVE NW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 262100UTC 30.4N 148.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 271800UTC 37.8N 144.4E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNW 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 281800UTC 41.9N 150.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 291800UTC 41.8N 166.1E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DAMREY IS LOCATED AT 22.6N, 155.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, REDUCED TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD UNTIL
FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND
REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND
INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT96 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL
TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 22.6N 155.0E FAIR
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260600UTC 25.7N 152.8E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 261800UTC 29.4N 149.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 271800UTC 37.8N 144.4E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNW 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 281800UTC 41.9N 150.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 291800UTC 41.8N 166.1E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 251800
WARNING 251800.
WARNING VALID 261800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 994 HPA
AT 22.6N 155.0E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 25.7N 152.8E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 29.4N 149.5E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 37.8N 144.4E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 41.9N 150.3E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 41.8N 166.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 251500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 22.0N 155.2E FAIR
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260300UTC 25.5N 153.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNW 20KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 261500UTC 29.0N 149.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 23KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 271200UTC 36.2N 144.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNW 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 281200UTC 41.6N 148.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 291200UTC 42.4N 163.3E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DAMREY IS LOCATED AT 21.5N, 155.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND REDUCED TCHP.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD
UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT96 IN A STATE OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 21.5N 155.3E FAIR
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260000UTC 24.8N 153.8E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 261200UTC 28.1N 150.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 22KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 271200UTC 36.2N 144.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNW 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 281200UTC 41.6N 148.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 291200UTC 42.4N 163.3E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 251200
WARNING 251200.
WARNING VALID 261200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 994 HPA
AT 21.5N 155.3E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 24.8N 153.8E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 28.1N 150.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 36.2N 144.8E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 41.6N 148.4E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 42.4N 163.3E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
988 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 250900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250900UTC 21.1N 155.4E FAIR
MOVE N 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 252100UTC 24.2N 154.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 260900UTC 27.2N 151.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW 19KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 270600UTC 33.7N 145.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNW 23KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 280600UTC 40.4N 146.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE N 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 290600UTC 43.5N 161.2E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DAMREY IS LOCATED AT 20.0N, 155.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE
CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED
VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO
AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED
ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 20.0N 155.5E FAIR
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 251800UTC 23.2N 154.4E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 260600UTC 26.1N 152.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW 18KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 270600UTC 33.7N 145.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE NNW 23KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 280600UTC 40.4N 146.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE N 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 290600UTC 43.5N 161.2E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 250600
WARNING 250600.
WARNING VALID 260600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 994 HPA
AT 20.0N 155.5E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 18
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 23.2N 154.4E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 26.1N 152.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 33.7N 145.8E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 40.4N 146.6E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 43.5N 161.2E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
984 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 250300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250300UTC 19.3N 155.0E FAIR
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 251500UTC 22.1N 154.5E 45NM 70%
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 260300UTC 24.6N 152.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 270000UTC 30.3N 147.5E 115NM 70%
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 280000UTC 38.3N 145.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE N 20KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 290000UTC 42.8N 157.4E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS DAMREY IS LOCATED AT 18.5N, 154.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL
FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND
GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250000UTC 18.5N 154.5E FAIR
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 251200UTC 21.5N 154.7E 45NM 70%
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 260000UTC 24.0N 153.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNW 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 270000UTC 30.3N 147.5E 115NM 70%
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 280000UTC 38.3N 145.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE N 20KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 290000UTC 42.8N 157.4E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 250000
WARNING 250000.
WARNING VALID 260000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) 998 HPA
AT 18.5N 154.5E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 18
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 21.5N 154.7E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 24.0N 153.1E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 30.3N 147.5E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 38.3N 145.4E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 42.8N 157.4E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 242100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 242100UTC 17.7N 153.3E POOR
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 252100UTC 23.4N 153.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 261800UTC 27.8N 148.7E 115NM 70%
MOVE NW 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 271800UTC 37.7N 144.0E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW 24KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 281800UTC 42.5N 148.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
117HF 291800UTC 42.7N 161.0E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 2310 DAMREY (2310)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 16.8N, 150.3E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(DAMREY) STATUS. TS DAMREY IS LOCATED AT 17.7N, 151.9E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC
IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE EAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT60 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL
TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT120. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2310 DAMREY (2310) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241800UTC 17.7N 151.9E POOR
MOVE ENE 18KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 251800UTC 22.8N 154.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 261800UTC 27.8N 148.7E 115NM 70%
MOVE NW 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 271800UTC 37.7N 144.0E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW 24KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 281800UTC 42.5N 148.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
120HF 291800UTC 42.7N 161.0E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 241800
WARNING 241800.
WARNING VALID 251800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2310 DAMREY (2310) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
998 HPA
AT 17.7N 151.9E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 18
KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 22.8N 154.1E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 27.8N 148.7E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 37.7N 144.0E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 42.5N 148.6E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 42.7N 161.0E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

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