Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NINE-20
Off-shore

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GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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2020-01-23 14:30

WTXS51 PGTW 231500 RRA
WARNING    ATCG MIL 09S SIO 200123124043
2020012312 09S NINE       003  01 175 14 SATL 025
T000 247S 0717E 025
T012 280S 0726E 025
AMP 000HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z --- NEAR 22.3S 71.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3S 71.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 24.9S 71.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.4S 73.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2020-01-23 14:30

WTXS31 PGTW 231500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231200Z --- NEAR 24.7S 71.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S 71.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.0S 72.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 25.5S 71.9E.
23JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 845 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS SEVERELY DEGRADED AS THE CENTRAL
CONVECTION COLLAPSED AND SHEARED EASTWARD, EXPOSING A RAGGED AND
WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE
ABOVE ANIMATION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED
ON THE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T1.5/25KTS FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE TC HAS DRIFTED INTO STRONG (25KTS+)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLING SSTS (25C AND DROPPING) THAT ARE

>

2020-01-23 14:21

WTXS51 PGTW 231500
WARNING    ATCG MIL 09S SIO 200123124043
2020012312 09S NINE       003  01 175 14 SATL 025
T000 247S 0717E 025
T012 280S 0726E 025
AMP 000HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z --- NEAR 22.3S 71.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3S 71.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 24.9S 71.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.4S 73.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 22 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 32.1S 75.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 25 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 35.7S 79.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 23.0S 71.2E.
23JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 449 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MATHURIN, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z AND 240300Z.//
0920012006 125S 648E  30
0920012012 132S 652E  30
0920012018 139S 656E  30
0920012100 149S 662E  30
0920012106 161S 668E  30
0920012112 172S 674E  30
0920012118 181S 678E  30
0920012200 188S 683E  30
0920012206 196S 690E  30
0920012212 202S 696E  35
0920012218 211S 703E  35
0920012300 223S 710E  35
NNNN

>

2020-01-23 14:18

WTXS31 PGTW 231500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231200Z --- NEAR 24.7S 71.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S 71.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.0S 72.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 25.5S 71.9E.
23JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 845 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS SEVERELY DEGRADED AS THE CENTRAL
CONVECTION COLLAPSED AND SHEARED EASTWARD, EXPOSING A RAGGED AND
WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE
ABOVE ANIMATION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED
ON THE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T1.5/25KTS FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE TC HAS DRIFTED INTO STRONG (25KTS+)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLING SSTS (25C AND DROPPING) THAT ARE
MAINLY RESPONSIBLE FOR ITS RAPID DETERIORATION AND ITS CENTRAL WIND
SPEED WEAKENING TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. DOWNSTREAM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE WORSE. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 10
FEET.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-23 02:45

WTXS31 PGTW 230300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z --- NEAR 22.3S 71.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3S 71.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 24.9S 71.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.4S 73.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-23 02:39

WTXS51 PGTW 230300 RRA
WARNING    ATCG MIL 09S SIO 200123011520
2020012300 09S NINE       002  01 150 14 SATL 030
T000 223S 0710E 035 R034 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 249S 0718E 035 R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 284S 0730E 035 R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 321S 0756E 035 R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 357S 0799E 035 R034 110 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD
AMP
    024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z --- NEAR 22.3S 71.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3S 71.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 24.9S 71.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-23 02:37

WTXS31 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z --- NEAR 22.3S 71.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3S 71.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 24.9S 71.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.4S 73.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 22 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 32.1S 75.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 25 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 35.7S 79.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 23.0S 71.2E.
23JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 449
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MATHURIN, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS ISOLATED CENTRAL
CONVECTION AND NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE
IN THE INITIAL POSITION, PLACED USING A 222306Z SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE SHOWING RAIN BANDS WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH. THE 35 KT INITIAL
INTENSITY ALIGNS WITH THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF
T2.5 (35 KTS). STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) ARE PARTIALLY OFFSET BY STRONG (20-30 KT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) TO MAKE THE ENVIRONMENT MARGINAL. FOR THE
DURATION OF THE FORECAST, TC 09S WILL FOLLOW THE PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WILL
LIMIT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. BY TAU 24, THE CYCLONE WILL BEGIN
INTERACTING WITH THE MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND START
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). ETT SHOULD COMPLETE BY TAU 48, IF NOT
SOONER. ADDITIONALLY, AS THE CYCLONE MOVES POLEWARD, VWS IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME STRONGER AND SST IS EXPECTED TO COOL CONSIDERABLY. THE
INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT COULD CAUSE THE INTENSITY TO FALL
BELOW WARNING THRESHOLD PRIOR TO COMPLETING ETT. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 16 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z AND 240300Z.//
NNNN

>

2020-01-23 02:36

WTXS51 PGTW 230300
WARNING    ATCG MIL 09S SIO 200123011520
2020012300 09S NINE       002  01 150 14 SATL 030
T000 223S 0710E 035 R034 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 249S 0718E 035 R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 284S 0730E 035 R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 321S 0756E 035 R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 357S 0799E 035 R034 110 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD
AMP
    024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z --- NEAR 22.3S 71.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3S 71.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 24.9S 71.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.4S 73.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 22 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 32.1S 75.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 25 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 35.7S 79.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 23.0S 71.2E.
23JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 449 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MATHURIN, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z AND 240300Z.//
0920012006 125S 648E  30
0920012012 132S 652E  30
0920012018 139S 656E  30
0920012100 149S 662E  30
0920012106 161S 668E  30
0920012112 172S 674E  30
0920012118 181S 678E  30
0920012200 188S 683E  30
0920012206 196S 690E  30
0920012212 202S 696E  35
0920012218 211S 703E  35
0920012300 223S 710E  35
NNNN

>

2020-01-22 14:54

WTXS31 PGTW 221500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   221200Z --- NEAR 20.2S 69.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S 69.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 22.4S 70.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 25.1S 71.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 17 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.4S 72.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 31.7S 75.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 21 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   251200Z --- 36.6S 83.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 20.7S 70.1E.
22JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 710
NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION OVERHEAD
AND EXTENDING TO THE NORTHEAST. THE INITIAL POSITION IS SET WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE BASED OFF OF AN EXTRAPOLATION OF A 220850Z AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE AND THE AFOREMENTIONED MSI. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF
35 KTS IS BASED ON MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
T2.0-2.5 FROM PGTW/KNES/FMEE, LENDING GOOD CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL
INTENSITY. TC 09S HAS AN ASYMMETRIC STRUCTURE, WITH HIGHER (30-35 KT)
WINDS ON THE EASTERN SIDE AND LOWER (10-15 KT) WINDS ON THE WESTERN
SIDE. OVERALL, CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO CYCLE OVER AND TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A REGION OF MODERATE
(15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) WITH AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) ARE FAVORABLE AT 28-29
CELSIUS. TC 09S IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) WHICH WILL REMAIN
THE MAJOR STEERING FEATURE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS THE
SYSTEM TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD, CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TAU 24. BEYOND THAT, SST
WILL BEGIN TO DROP BELOW 26 CELSIUS AND VWS WILL BEGIN TO RAPIDLY
INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS INTERACTING WITH THE POLAR FRONT JET TO
THE SOUTH. AROUND TAU 36, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION WITH COMPLETION EXPECTED BY TAU 72, IF NOT SOONER, AS THE
SYSTEM BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE JET FLOW. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS
IN STRONG AGREEMENT FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST, PLACING HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z AND 231500Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 220900).
NNNN

>

2020-01-22 14:47

WTXS51 PGTW 221500 RRA
WARNING    ATCG MIL 09S SIO 200122142247
2020012212 09S NINE       001  01 125 10 SATL XTRP 040
T000 202S 0699E 035 R034 110 NE QD 055 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 224S 0707E 035 R034 120 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 251S 0715E 035 R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 284S 0727E 035 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 317S 0750E 030
T072 366S 0831E 030
AMP
    036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   221200Z --- NEAR 20.2S 69.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S 69.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 22.4S 70.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-22 14:47

WTXS31 PGTW 221500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   221200Z --- NEAR 20.2S 69.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S 69.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 22.4S 70.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 25.1S 71.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2020-01-22 14:42

WTXS51 PGTW 221500
WARNING    ATCG MIL 09S SIO 200122142247
2020012212 09S NINE       001  01 125 10 SATL XTRP 040
T000 202S 0699E 035 R034 110 NE QD 055 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 224S 0707E 035 R034 120 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 251S 0715E 035 R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 284S 0727E 035 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 317S 0750E 030
T072 366S 0831E 030
AMP
    036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   221200Z --- NEAR 20.2S 69.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S 69.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 22.4S 70.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 25.1S 71.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 17 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 28.4S 72.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 31.7S 75.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 21 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   251200Z --- 36.6S 83.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 20.7S 70.1E.
22JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 710 NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z AND 231500Z.//
0920012006 125S 648E  30
0920012012 132S 652E  30
0920012018 139S 656E  30
0920012100 149S 662E  30
0920012106 161S 668E  30
0920012112 172S 674E  30
0920012118 181S 678E  30
0920012200 188S 683E  30
0920012206 196S 690E  30
0920012212 202S 699E  35
NNNN

>