Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANN-19
Off-shore

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GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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2019-05-14 02:53

WTPS51 PGTW 140300 RRA
WARNING    ATCG MIL 27P SWP 190514012008
2019051400 27P ANN        010  01 285 12 SATL 020
T000 146S 1491E 040 R034 045 NE QD 085 SE QD 065 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 139S 1465E 040 R034 000 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 134S 1439E 035 R034 000 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 129S 1412E 035 R034 000 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
T048 125S 1385E 030
AMP
    036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P (ANN) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P (ANN) WARNING NR 010
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140000Z --- NEAR 14.6S 149.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S 149.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z --- 13.9S 146.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

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2019-05-14 02:24

WTPS51 PGTW 140300
WARNING    ATCG MIL 27P SWP 190514012008
2019051400 27P ANN        010  01 285 12 SATL 020
T000 146S 1491E 040 R034 045 NE QD 085 SE QD 065 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 139S 1465E 040 R034 000 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 134S 1439E 035 R034 000 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 129S 1412E 035 R034 000 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
T048 125S 1385E 030
AMP
    036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P (ANN) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P (ANN) WARNING NR 010
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140000Z --- NEAR 14.6S 149.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S 149.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z --- 13.9S 146.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z --- 13.4S 143.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z --- 12.9S 141.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z --- 12.5S 138.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 14.4S 148.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 27P (ANN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM
NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.//
2719050906 110S1610E  20
2719050912 113S1606E  20
2719050918 116S1603E  20
2719051000 121S1600E  20
2719051006 129S1597E  20
2719051012 138S1594E  20
2719051018 153S1591E  25
2719051100 158S1593E  25
2719051106 160S1595E  25
2719051112 162S1593E  30
2719051118 163S1590E  35
2719051200 162S1585E  40
2719051206 161S1578E  50
2719051206 161S1578E  50
2719051212 160S1569E  55
2719051212 160S1569E  55
2719051218 159S1557E  55
2719051218 159S1557E  55
2719051300 155S1542E  50
2719051300 155S1542E  50
2719051306 153S1528E  45
2719051312 151S1514E  45
2719051318 149S1503E  45
2719051400 146S1491E  40

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2019-05-12 13:23

WTPS31 PGTW 120900 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P (ANN) WARNING NR 003 CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P (ANN) WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   120600Z --- NEAR 16.2S 157.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 157.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z --- 15.6S 155.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   130600Z --- 15.2S 153.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   131800Z --- 14.9S 151.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   140600Z --- 14.5S 148.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   150600Z --- 13.6S 143.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   160600Z --- 12.7S 137.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
120900Z POSITION NEAR 16.0S 157.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 27P (ANN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 691 NM EAST OF
CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH THE CENTRAL CONVECTION SLIGHTLY SHEARED
NORTHWESTWARD OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE ON A DEFINED LLC FEATURE IN
THE 120257Z AMSR2 36GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
AVERAGED FROM THE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0/45KTS AND T3.5/55KTS FROM
PGTW AND KNES, RESPECTIVELY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE
SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) THAT IS OFFSET BY EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ALONG-TRACK
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE CORAL SEA ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE AT
27-28C. TC 27P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN EXTENSION OF
A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST, MAKING
LANDFALL OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA JUST BEFORE TAU 72 THEN CROSS INTO
THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA (GOC). THE OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL
FUEL AND SUSTAIN A MODEST INTENSIFICATION UP 55 KNOTS, TEMPERED BY A
VIGOROUS COLD DRY SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW IN THE CORAL SEA UP TO TAU 48.
AFTERWARD, LANDFALL AND INCREASING VWS WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM TO
DISSIPATION BY TAU 96 AS IT APPROACHES GOVE ON THE WEST SHORE OF THE
GOC. THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH
CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z, 122100Z,
130300Z AND 130900Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED TIMING OF LANDFALL AND
DISSIPATION IN REMARKS.//
NNNN

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