ABPW10 PGTW 070800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/070800Z-080600ZJAN2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.3S 173.3W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.9S 171.3W, APPROXIMATELY 281 NM 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING AROUND THE 
EASTERN PERIPHERY. THE ASYMMETRIC DEEP CONVECTION LYING NORTH OF THE 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS HIGHLIGHTED IN A 07054Z 91GHZ F-17 SSMIS 
MICROWAVE IMAGE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 96P IS
IN AN OVERALL MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT 
DUE TO WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96P WILL QUICKLY 
CONSOLIDATE AND TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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