WTNT82 EGRR 241608 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 24.09.2017 HURRICANE LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 31.7N 50.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 24.09.2017 0 31.7N 50.4W 1013 27 0000UTC 25.09.2017 12 31.1N 49.7W 1011 29 1200UTC 25.09.2017 24 30.6N 49.7W 1010 29 0000UTC 26.09.2017 36 30.4N 50.3W 1009 33 1200UTC 26.09.2017 48 30.6N 52.3W 1004 44 0000UTC 27.09.2017 60 30.8N 54.6W 1001 44 1200UTC 27.09.2017 72 31.1N 56.7W 998 44 0000UTC 28.09.2017 84 31.9N 57.8W 993 53 1200UTC 28.09.2017 96 33.6N 58.0W 989 62 0000UTC 29.09.2017 108 36.4N 56.1W 987 61 1200UTC 29.09.2017 120 39.6N 51.7W 988 63 0000UTC 30.09.2017 132 43.4N 44.3W 994 59 1200UTC 30.09.2017 144 46.4N 34.0W 1001 49 HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 28.3N 72.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 24.09.2017 0 28.3N 72.9W 945 74 0000UTC 25.09.2017 12 29.7N 73.4W 950 71 1200UTC 25.09.2017 24 30.7N 73.6W 949 77 0000UTC 26.09.2017 36 31.7N 74.0W 946 77 1200UTC 26.09.2017 48 32.8N 74.0W 942 80 0000UTC 27.09.2017 60 33.6N 74.0W 946 73 1200UTC 27.09.2017 72 34.4N 73.8W 950 78 0000UTC 28.09.2017 84 34.5N 73.5W 953 70 1200UTC 28.09.2017 96 34.2N 72.6W 955 76 0000UTC 29.09.2017 108 33.7N 70.8W 967 65 1200UTC 29.09.2017 120 34.7N 67.9W 969 69 0000UTC 30.09.2017 132 38.6N 61.6W 967 70 1200UTC 30.09.2017 144 46.4N 52.5W 957 70 TROPICAL STORM PILAR ANALYSED POSITION : 19.6N 105.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 24.09.2017 0 19.6N 105.7W 1000 33 0000UTC 25.09.2017 12 21.2N 105.8W 1002 30 1200UTC 25.09.2017 24 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.8N 125.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 26.09.2017 36 13.7N 124.7W 1005 29 1200UTC 26.09.2017 48 13.3N 123.2W 1005 25 0000UTC 27.09.2017 60 12.9N 122.3W 1004 25 1200UTC 27.09.2017 72 12.6N 120.7W 1004 26 0000UTC 28.09.2017 84 12.8N 119.5W 1004 27 1200UTC 28.09.2017 96 13.4N 117.6W 1005 28 0000UTC 29.09.2017 108 14.1N 116.7W 1005 24 1200UTC 29.09.2017 120 14.0N 116.3W 1005 24 0000UTC 30.09.2017 132 13.3N 115.7W 1005 26 1200UTC 30.09.2017 144 12.9N 115.3W 1006 25 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 10.7N 135.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 27.09.2017 72 10.7N 135.4W 1006 25 0000UTC 28.09.2017 84 11.1N 134.1W 1005 27 1200UTC 28.09.2017 96 11.9N 132.9W 1005 25 0000UTC 29.09.2017 108 12.8N 131.7W 1005 25 1200UTC 29.09.2017 120 13.3N 131.0W 1006 24 0000UTC 30.09.2017 132 13.4N 130.5W 1006 23 1200UTC 30.09.2017 144 13.0N 130.5W 1007 27 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 10.0N 156.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 30.09.2017 132 10.0N 156.3W 1006 26 1200UTC 30.09.2017 144 10.7N 155.7W 1007 26 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 241607