WTNT82 EGRR 300412



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 30.09.2017



        TROPICAL STORM LEE        ANALYSED POSITION : 43.3N  44.3W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 30.09.2017    0  43.3N  44.3W      991            56

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   12              CEASED TRACKING



        TROPICAL STORM MARIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 38.1N  55.4W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 30.09.2017    0  38.1N  55.4W      981            60

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   12  40.3N  48.3W      974            65

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   24  42.3N  42.1W      980            57

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   36  44.8N  35.6W      989            50

    0000UTC 02.10.2017   48  47.5N  27.6W     1005            39

    1200UTC 02.10.2017   60  49.1N  18.4W     1013            31

    0000UTC 03.10.2017   72              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 11.0N 140.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 02.10.2017   60  11.0N 140.4W     1007            26

    0000UTC 03.10.2017   72  11.7N 140.3W     1005            28

    1200UTC 03.10.2017   84  12.7N 140.4W     1005            31

    0000UTC 04.10.2017   96  13.0N 141.1W     1002            31

    1200UTC 04.10.2017  108  12.6N 141.6W     1001            38

    0000UTC 05.10.2017  120  12.6N 141.8W     1001            41

    1200UTC 05.10.2017  132  12.3N 142.4W     1003            39

    0000UTC 06.10.2017  144  11.8N 143.5W     1005            34



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 12.3N 133.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 03.10.2017   72  12.5N 133.0W     1007            26

    1200UTC 03.10.2017   84  12.7N 131.3W     1007            26

    0000UTC 04.10.2017   96  12.5N 129.3W     1006            30

    1200UTC 04.10.2017  108  12.7N 127.3W     1007            26

    0000UTC 05.10.2017  120  12.8N 126.1W     1007            22

    1200UTC 05.10.2017  132  12.8N 125.1W     1007            22

    0000UTC 06.10.2017  144  13.0N 123.7W     1006            25





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 300412