WTNT82 EGRR 290409



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 29.09.2017



             HURRICANE LEE        ANALYSED POSITION : 35.7N  55.5W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 29.09.2017    0  35.7N  55.5W      974            71

    1200UTC 29.09.2017   12  38.9N  51.5W      977            73

    0000UTC 30.09.2017   24  42.7N  44.7W      985            63

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   36  47.3N  33.6W      993            54

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   48              CEASED TRACKING



        TROPICAL STORM MARIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 36.6N  66.8W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 29.09.2017    0  36.6N  66.8W      984            47

    1200UTC 29.09.2017   12  36.7N  62.1W      985            52

    0000UTC 30.09.2017   24  38.1N  55.8W      983            55

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   36  40.9N  49.0W      976            56

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   48  43.0N  42.0W      983            51

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   60  46.3N  34.4W      992            48

    0000UTC 02.10.2017   72  49.1N  25.1W     1005            37

    1200UTC 02.10.2017   84              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 11.9N 117.5W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   48  11.9N 117.5W     1007            24

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   60  12.5N 116.2W     1006            26

    0000UTC 02.10.2017   72  13.3N 114.6W     1004            30

    1200UTC 02.10.2017   84  13.6N 112.7W     1003            36

    0000UTC 03.10.2017   96  13.1N 109.7W     1002            37

    1200UTC 03.10.2017  108              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 10.7N 135.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   60  10.7N 135.4W     1007            24

    0000UTC 02.10.2017   72  12.2N 134.5W     1007            28

    1200UTC 02.10.2017   84  13.7N 134.7W     1008            23

    0000UTC 03.10.2017   96  13.9N 135.2W     1007            25

    1200UTC 03.10.2017  108  13.8N 134.5W     1007            23

    0000UTC 04.10.2017  120  13.6N 133.3W     1007            24

    1200UTC 04.10.2017  132  13.7N 132.0W     1008            21

    0000UTC 05.10.2017  144  13.6N 131.5W     1008            22



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 28.8N 162.0W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 03.10.2017   96  28.8N 162.0W     1007            38

    1200UTC 03.10.2017  108  26.6N 163.8W     1004            36

    0000UTC 04.10.2017  120  25.5N 166.2W     1004            31

    1200UTC 04.10.2017  132  24.5N 168.5W     1006            28

    0000UTC 05.10.2017  144  24.9N 170.8W     1007            26





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 290409