WTNT82 EGRR 270410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 27.09.2017 HURRICANE LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 29.7N 55.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 27.09.2017 0 29.7N 55.1W 999 42 1200UTC 27.09.2017 12 30.0N 56.5W 991 55 0000UTC 28.09.2017 24 31.2N 57.1W 986 58 1200UTC 28.09.2017 36 33.1N 57.0W 985 61 0000UTC 29.09.2017 48 35.9N 55.3W 982 66 1200UTC 29.09.2017 60 39.4N 51.1W 987 60 0000UTC 30.09.2017 72 43.3N 43.9W 988 62 1200UTC 30.09.2017 84 47.2N 32.4W 996 51 0000UTC 01.10.2017 96 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 34.2N 72.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 27.09.2017 0 34.2N 72.7W 970 60 1200UTC 27.09.2017 12 35.3N 72.7W 968 61 0000UTC 28.09.2017 24 36.1N 72.4W 967 59 1200UTC 28.09.2017 36 36.1N 70.8W 967 62 0000UTC 29.09.2017 48 36.1N 67.5W 969 61 1200UTC 29.09.2017 60 36.9N 63.2W 967 65 0000UTC 30.09.2017 72 39.0N 56.9W 964 72 1200UTC 30.09.2017 84 42.1N 48.7W 966 74 0000UTC 01.10.2017 96 46.4N 37.7W 983 57 1200UTC 01.10.2017 108 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 13.8N 119.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 28.09.2017 24 13.9N 118.6W 1005 23 1200UTC 28.09.2017 36 13.9N 117.0W 1006 23 0000UTC 29.09.2017 48 13.7N 115.3W 1006 22 1200UTC 29.09.2017 60 13.1N 114.3W 1006 24 0000UTC 30.09.2017 72 12.5N 113.7W 1004 28 1200UTC 30.09.2017 84 12.6N 112.7W 1004 28 0000UTC 01.10.2017 96 13.4N 111.4W 1002 36 1200UTC 01.10.2017 108 14.8N 109.4W 1002 40 0000UTC 02.10.2017 120 15.2N 107.1W 1002 37 1200UTC 02.10.2017 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 10.3N 138.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 28.09.2017 36 10.4N 137.6W 1006 23 0000UTC 29.09.2017 48 10.8N 136.9W 1007 23 1200UTC 29.09.2017 60 11.5N 136.0W 1007 22 0000UTC 30.09.2017 72 11.7N 135.3W 1007 20 1200UTC 30.09.2017 84 11.5N 134.8W 1008 20 0000UTC 01.10.2017 96 11.1N 135.0W 1007 22 1200UTC 01.10.2017 108 10.8N 135.4W 1007 24 0000UTC 02.10.2017 120 11.1N 135.3W 1005 27 1200UTC 02.10.2017 132 11.5N 134.7W 1004 33 0000UTC 03.10.2017 144 11.9N 133.6W 1001 37 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 15.2N 94.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 03.10.2017 144 16.2N 94.9W 1001 33 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 29.1N 163.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 03.10.2017 144 29.1N 163.3W 1006 33 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 34.8N 58.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 03.10.2017 144 34.8N 58.9W 1017 38 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 270409