WTNT82 EGRR 220406



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 22.09.2017



        TROPICAL STORM JOSE       ANALYSED POSITION : 39.4N  68.2W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 22.09.2017    0  39.4N  68.2W      986            44

    1200UTC 22.09.2017   12  39.6N  69.1W      992            38

    0000UTC 23.09.2017   24  39.7N  69.4W      995            35

    1200UTC 23.09.2017   36  39.2N  69.6W     1001            30

    0000UTC 24.09.2017   48  38.6N  68.9W     1006            26

    1200UTC 24.09.2017   60  38.7N  69.1W     1010            23

    0000UTC 25.09.2017   72              CEASED TRACKING



             HURRICANE MARIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 20.8N  69.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 22.09.2017    0  20.8N  69.9W      947            87

    1200UTC 22.09.2017   12  22.1N  70.7W      949            83

    0000UTC 23.09.2017   24  23.7N  71.3W      946            78

    1200UTC 23.09.2017   36  25.3N  72.1W      943            80

    0000UTC 24.09.2017   48  27.0N  72.4W      935            85

    1200UTC 24.09.2017   60  28.6N  72.7W      934            81

    0000UTC 25.09.2017   72  30.0N  72.5W      939            76

    1200UTC 25.09.2017   84  31.3N  72.4W      945            77

    0000UTC 26.09.2017   96  32.3N  72.2W      946            77

    1200UTC 26.09.2017  108  33.2N  72.0W      950            72

    0000UTC 27.09.2017  120  34.2N  71.4W      955            66

    1200UTC 27.09.2017  132  35.3N  70.7W      961            65

    0000UTC 28.09.2017  144  36.4N  68.7W      959            71



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 19.0N 105.7W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 24.09.2017   48  19.0N 105.7W     1001            31

    1200UTC 24.09.2017   60  20.1N 106.1W     1001            29

    0000UTC 25.09.2017   72  21.3N 106.2W     1003            25

    1200UTC 25.09.2017   84  21.7N 106.4W     1003            25

    0000UTC 26.09.2017   96  22.2N 106.6W     1002            25

    1200UTC 26.09.2017  108  22.9N 106.9W     1002            29

    0000UTC 27.09.2017  120  23.6N 107.3W     1002            28

    1200UTC 27.09.2017  132  24.3N 108.2W     1003            30

    0000UTC 28.09.2017  144              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 12.6N 126.1W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 26.09.2017  108  12.6N 125.6W     1006            23

    0000UTC 27.09.2017  120  12.4N 124.6W     1005            25

    1200UTC 27.09.2017  132  12.7N 123.1W     1005            24

    0000UTC 28.09.2017  144  13.1N 121.6W     1004            27



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 11.0N 144.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 27.09.2017  132  11.0N 144.8W     1006            26

    0000UTC 28.09.2017  144  11.6N 144.8W     1004            27





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 220406