WTNT82 EGRR 210405 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 21.09.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.3N 47.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 21.09.2017 0 18.3N 47.6W 1012 23 1200UTC 21.09.2017 12 20.3N 48.4W 1013 23 0000UTC 22.09.2017 24 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 39.4N 68.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 21.09.2017 0 39.4N 68.4W 978 47 1200UTC 21.09.2017 12 39.8N 67.9W 984 45 0000UTC 22.09.2017 24 39.5N 68.4W 986 45 1200UTC 22.09.2017 36 39.7N 69.2W 991 41 0000UTC 23.09.2017 48 39.5N 69.7W 995 37 1200UTC 23.09.2017 60 39.3N 69.1W 999 33 0000UTC 24.09.2017 72 38.9N 67.9W 1004 28 1200UTC 24.09.2017 84 38.8N 67.4W 1006 27 0000UTC 25.09.2017 96 38.7N 68.0W 1008 27 1200UTC 25.09.2017 108 38.8N 69.3W 1010 23 0000UTC 26.09.2017 120 39.8N 69.8W 1011 22 1200UTC 26.09.2017 132 40.9N 68.8W 1009 22 0000UTC 27.09.2017 144 41.3N 66.8W 1009 26 HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 67.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 21.09.2017 0 19.0N 67.5W 952 80 1200UTC 21.09.2017 12 19.9N 68.6W 956 79 0000UTC 22.09.2017 24 20.7N 69.7W 952 83 1200UTC 22.09.2017 36 22.0N 70.3W 955 78 0000UTC 23.09.2017 48 23.5N 70.9W 954 78 1200UTC 23.09.2017 60 25.0N 71.7W 947 75 0000UTC 24.09.2017 72 26.6N 71.9W 931 89 1200UTC 24.09.2017 84 28.2N 72.4W 937 82 0000UTC 25.09.2017 96 29.5N 72.5W 941 78 1200UTC 25.09.2017 108 30.3N 72.4W 944 81 0000UTC 26.09.2017 120 31.3N 71.7W 939 84 1200UTC 26.09.2017 132 32.0N 71.2W 945 73 0000UTC 27.09.2017 144 32.5N 70.1W 949 74 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 17.8N 104.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 23.09.2017 60 17.8N 104.8W 1000 33 0000UTC 24.09.2017 72 18.5N 105.9W 996 37 1200UTC 24.09.2017 84 18.7N 106.6W 993 45 0000UTC 25.09.2017 96 18.9N 106.7W 996 39 1200UTC 25.09.2017 108 19.0N 106.9W 998 37 0000UTC 26.09.2017 120 19.5N 106.8W 999 32 1200UTC 26.09.2017 132 20.5N 107.5W 1000 32 0000UTC 27.09.2017 144 21.3N 107.9W 1001 31 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.7N 90.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 24.09.2017 72 12.7N 90.9W 1003 32 1200UTC 24.09.2017 84 13.5N 89.9W 1000 34 0000UTC 25.09.2017 96 16.5N 94.6W 1004 26 1200UTC 25.09.2017 108 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 9.6N 151.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 25.09.2017 108 9.5N 152.5W 1008 22 0000UTC 26.09.2017 120 10.0N 153.5W 1007 22 1200UTC 26.09.2017 132 10.5N 154.4W 1009 21 0000UTC 27.09.2017 144 11.0N 155.3W 1008 19 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 11.3N 124.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 27.09.2017 144 11.3N 124.7W 1006 27 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 210405