WTNT82 EGRR 010409 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 01.10.2017 TROPICAL STORM MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 42.2N 42.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 01.10.2017 0 42.2N 42.6W 990 50 1200UTC 01.10.2017 12 44.8N 36.1W 999 46 0000UTC 02.10.2017 24 47.5N 27.4W 1008 39 1200UTC 02.10.2017 36 48.8N 17.3W 1015 35 0000UTC 03.10.2017 48 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 35.4N 64.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 01.10.2017 12 35.4N 64.1W 1012 41 0000UTC 02.10.2017 24 38.0N 61.7W 999 55 1200UTC 02.10.2017 36 38.7N 58.3W 995 48 0000UTC 03.10.2017 48 39.5N 52.9W 999 40 1200UTC 03.10.2017 60 43.6N 45.9W 994 42 0000UTC 04.10.2017 72 44.9N 43.5W 988 52 1200UTC 04.10.2017 84 46.7N 41.0W 985 46 0000UTC 05.10.2017 96 48.4N 37.9W 990 36 1200UTC 05.10.2017 108 51.4N 34.0W 993 33 0000UTC 06.10.2017 120 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 11.2N 140.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 03.10.2017 48 11.5N 141.1W 1006 29 1200UTC 03.10.2017 60 12.8N 141.6W 1005 35 0000UTC 04.10.2017 72 12.8N 142.9W 1002 28 1200UTC 04.10.2017 84 13.2N 143.2W 1002 33 0000UTC 05.10.2017 96 13.3N 144.2W 999 42 1200UTC 05.10.2017 108 13.3N 145.5W 1001 45 0000UTC 06.10.2017 120 13.3N 147.5W 1001 42 1200UTC 06.10.2017 132 13.1N 149.4W 1001 42 0000UTC 07.10.2017 144 13.3N 150.8W 1000 41 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 11.2N 132.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 03.10.2017 48 11.2N 132.9W 1007 29 1200UTC 03.10.2017 60 11.5N 130.8W 1008 25 0000UTC 04.10.2017 72 11.2N 128.5W 1008 22 1200UTC 04.10.2017 84 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 19.0N 102.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 04.10.2017 72 19.0N 102.6W 1000 22 1200UTC 04.10.2017 84 17.2N 103.9W 1002 40 0000UTC 05.10.2017 96 18.7N 106.4W 998 39 1200UTC 05.10.2017 108 20.3N 108.2W 999 35 0000UTC 06.10.2017 120 22.2N 110.2W 1001 27 1200UTC 06.10.2017 132 23.3N 111.6W 1004 23 0000UTC 07.10.2017 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.6N 88.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 06.10.2017 132 13.2N 88.6W 1000 41 0000UTC 07.10.2017 144 15.1N 93.4W 1002 35 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 010408