WTNT82 EGRR 200409 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 20.09.2017 TROPICAL STORM JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 37.5N 71.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 20.09.2017 0 37.5N 71.0W 970 56 1200UTC 20.09.2017 12 38.7N 70.0W 970 51 0000UTC 21.09.2017 24 39.5N 68.6W 974 46 1200UTC 21.09.2017 36 39.7N 67.7W 981 44 0000UTC 22.09.2017 48 39.5N 67.8W 984 45 1200UTC 22.09.2017 60 39.3N 68.9W 987 42 0000UTC 23.09.2017 72 39.4N 69.6W 991 39 1200UTC 23.09.2017 84 39.2N 70.3W 996 34 0000UTC 24.09.2017 96 39.1N 70.1W 1000 33 1200UTC 24.09.2017 108 38.6N 70.8W 1004 29 0000UTC 25.09.2017 120 38.2N 72.0W 1007 28 1200UTC 25.09.2017 132 38.4N 74.6W 1010 26 0000UTC 26.09.2017 144 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 64.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 20.09.2017 0 17.0N 64.3W 960 73 1200UTC 20.09.2017 12 18.1N 66.0W 968 69 0000UTC 21.09.2017 24 19.1N 67.5W 968 72 1200UTC 21.09.2017 36 20.0N 68.9W 968 68 0000UTC 22.09.2017 48 20.8N 70.1W 960 75 1200UTC 22.09.2017 60 22.1N 70.6W 958 77 0000UTC 23.09.2017 72 23.5N 71.3W 956 72 1200UTC 23.09.2017 84 24.7N 71.7W 950 76 0000UTC 24.09.2017 96 26.3N 71.9W 943 81 1200UTC 24.09.2017 108 27.8N 72.0W 938 80 0000UTC 25.09.2017 120 29.0N 71.8W 944 77 1200UTC 25.09.2017 132 30.2N 71.3W 940 81 0000UTC 26.09.2017 144 31.4N 71.1W 944 79 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N 115.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 20.09.2017 0 21.7N 115.3W 1006 24 1200UTC 20.09.2017 12 22.2N 115.8W 1009 19 0000UTC 21.09.2017 24 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 18.0N 45.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 20.09.2017 0 18.0N 45.0W 1010 31 1200UTC 20.09.2017 12 18.6N 46.5W 1010 30 0000UTC 21.09.2017 24 19.5N 48.1W 1011 27 1200UTC 21.09.2017 36 20.8N 49.2W 1011 25 0000UTC 22.09.2017 48 22.3N 50.3W 1012 25 1200UTC 22.09.2017 60 24.2N 51.3W 1012 24 0000UTC 23.09.2017 72 25.9N 52.0W 1012 25 1200UTC 23.09.2017 84 27.7N 53.1W 1012 25 0000UTC 24.09.2017 96 28.6N 54.1W 1010 31 1200UTC 24.09.2017 108 29.4N 54.6W 1007 36 0000UTC 25.09.2017 120 29.8N 54.9W 1005 45 1200UTC 25.09.2017 132 30.3N 55.5W 998 49 0000UTC 26.09.2017 144 30.6N 56.5W 993 52 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 18.5N 105.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 23.09.2017 84 18.5N 105.8W 1001 32 0000UTC 24.09.2017 96 18.8N 106.4W 997 39 1200UTC 24.09.2017 108 19.2N 106.6W 997 37 0000UTC 25.09.2017 120 19.2N 106.7W 998 35 1200UTC 25.09.2017 132 19.2N 106.8W 998 38 0000UTC 26.09.2017 144 19.5N 106.6W 998 39 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.1N 141.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 26.09.2017 144 12.5N 142.4W 1007 25 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 200409