WTNT82 EGRR 161606 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 16.09.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 126.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 16.09.2017 0 15.8N 126.4W 1005 24 0000UTC 17.09.2017 12 15.6N 127.0W 1004 28 1200UTC 17.09.2017 24 15.7N 127.2W 1002 28 0000UTC 18.09.2017 36 16.5N 127.0W 1000 31 1200UTC 18.09.2017 48 17.7N 126.8W 992 50 0000UTC 19.09.2017 60 18.5N 127.0W 998 42 1200UTC 19.09.2017 72 18.8N 127.5W 1004 31 0000UTC 20.09.2017 84 18.6N 128.4W 1007 28 1200UTC 20.09.2017 96 18.1N 129.4W 1009 23 0000UTC 21.09.2017 108 18.0N 130.8W 1009 24 1200UTC 21.09.2017 120 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM 14L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N 32.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 16.09.2017 0 12.8N 32.6W 1007 35 0000UTC 17.09.2017 12 13.0N 34.0W 1006 34 1200UTC 17.09.2017 24 13.0N 35.4W 1005 31 0000UTC 18.09.2017 36 13.2N 36.6W 1005 38 1200UTC 18.09.2017 48 13.9N 37.9W 1006 36 0000UTC 19.09.2017 60 15.0N 39.2W 1007 38 1200UTC 19.09.2017 72 16.2N 40.6W 1008 35 0000UTC 20.09.2017 84 17.5N 42.2W 1010 33 1200UTC 20.09.2017 96 18.6N 42.8W 1008 38 0000UTC 21.09.2017 108 19.4N 43.8W 1009 31 1200UTC 21.09.2017 120 20.3N 44.5W 1010 26 0000UTC 22.09.2017 132 22.5N 44.3W 1012 25 1200UTC 22.09.2017 144 25.1N 44.1W 1015 22 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 28.5N 72.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 16.09.2017 0 28.5N 72.0W 967 75 0000UTC 17.09.2017 12 29.4N 72.4W 955 83 1200UTC 17.09.2017 24 30.6N 72.2W 954 76 0000UTC 18.09.2017 36 32.0N 71.7W 950 74 1200UTC 18.09.2017 48 33.6N 72.0W 944 80 0000UTC 19.09.2017 60 35.0N 72.0W 950 71 1200UTC 19.09.2017 72 37.0N 72.0W 948 72 0000UTC 20.09.2017 84 38.9N 72.2W 953 61 1200UTC 20.09.2017 96 40.2N 71.3W 968 52 0000UTC 21.09.2017 108 41.4N 69.8W 979 40 1200UTC 21.09.2017 120 41.1N 68.0W 989 40 0000UTC 22.09.2017 132 40.3N 66.5W 996 39 1200UTC 22.09.2017 144 39.1N 66.1W 999 35 HURRICANE NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 110.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 16.09.2017 0 18.9N 110.3W 984 53 0000UTC 17.09.2017 12 19.7N 110.2W 985 51 1200UTC 17.09.2017 24 20.6N 110.7W 982 52 0000UTC 18.09.2017 36 21.6N 111.4W 979 59 1200UTC 18.09.2017 48 22.2N 112.3W 981 59 0000UTC 19.09.2017 60 22.7N 113.0W 990 48 1200UTC 19.09.2017 72 23.1N 113.6W 999 36 0000UTC 20.09.2017 84 23.3N 113.8W 1002 31 1200UTC 20.09.2017 96 23.4N 113.5W 1005 27 0000UTC 21.09.2017 108 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 12.6N 51.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 17.09.2017 12 12.8N 53.2W 1008 29 1200UTC 17.09.2017 24 13.5N 55.1W 1007 32 0000UTC 18.09.2017 36 14.1N 56.7W 1003 39 1200UTC 18.09.2017 48 14.5N 57.8W 1000 40 0000UTC 19.09.2017 60 15.0N 58.8W 993 51 1200UTC 19.09.2017 72 15.8N 59.8W 984 61 0000UTC 20.09.2017 84 16.6N 61.0W 975 65 1200UTC 20.09.2017 96 17.4N 62.6W 968 70 0000UTC 21.09.2017 108 17.8N 64.1W 963 73 1200UTC 21.09.2017 120 18.0N 65.4W 961 77 0000UTC 22.09.2017 132 18.9N 66.2W 950 84 1200UTC 22.09.2017 144 20.0N 67.2W 949 78 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 12.7N 134.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2017 36 12.9N 134.8W 1007 21 1200UTC 18.09.2017 48 13.2N 134.6W 1007 23 0000UTC 19.09.2017 60 13.5N 134.3W 1007 29 1200UTC 19.09.2017 72 13.2N 133.9W 1008 24 0000UTC 20.09.2017 84 12.8N 133.6W 1009 22 1200UTC 20.09.2017 96 12.3N 133.6W 1009 21 0000UTC 21.09.2017 108 12.0N 133.7W 1009 18 1200UTC 21.09.2017 120 11.5N 134.0W 1009 16 0000UTC 22.09.2017 132 12.0N 134.5W 1009 15 1200UTC 22.09.2017 144 12.5N 134.7W 1009 15 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.4N 140.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2017 36 11.4N 140.2W 1008 22 1200UTC 18.09.2017 48 11.8N 140.6W 1007 21 0000UTC 19.09.2017 60 12.6N 141.1W 1007 22 1200UTC 19.09.2017 72 13.0N 141.5W 1008 24 0000UTC 20.09.2017 84 13.2N 142.3W 1008 24 1200UTC 20.09.2017 96 13.1N 143.4W 1009 24 0000UTC 21.09.2017 108 12.8N 144.6W 1009 23 1200UTC 21.09.2017 120 12.5N 146.1W 1010 24 0000UTC 22.09.2017 132 12.0N 147.4W 1009 23 1200UTC 22.09.2017 144 11.7N 148.8W 1010 21 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 9.9N 163.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 60 9.9N 164.5W 1007 23 1200UTC 19.09.2017 72 10.4N 166.5W 1005 25 0000UTC 20.09.2017 84 11.9N 168.5W 1004 29 1200UTC 20.09.2017 96 13.2N 170.8W 1005 32 0000UTC 21.09.2017 108 14.2N 172.9W 1005 31 1200UTC 21.09.2017 120 14.9N 175.3W 1007 30 0000UTC 22.09.2017 132 15.0N 177.6W 1006 29 1200UTC 22.09.2017 144 14.6N 179.6W 1003 39 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 161606