WTNT82 EGRR 160406 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 16.09.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 125.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 0 16.0N 125.6W 1004 26 1200UTC 16.09.2017 12 15.7N 126.1W 1003 25 0000UTC 17.09.2017 24 15.3N 126.5W 1002 28 1200UTC 17.09.2017 36 15.5N 126.6W 1001 31 0000UTC 18.09.2017 48 16.3N 126.4W 998 40 1200UTC 18.09.2017 60 17.3N 126.1W 989 53 0000UTC 19.09.2017 72 18.1N 126.0W 998 45 1200UTC 19.09.2017 84 18.4N 126.3W 1005 31 0000UTC 20.09.2017 96 18.1N 126.8W 1007 27 1200UTC 20.09.2017 108 17.8N 127.9W 1009 23 0000UTC 21.09.2017 120 17.4N 129.4W 1009 22 1200UTC 21.09.2017 132 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 30.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 0 12.4N 30.1W 1008 30 1200UTC 16.09.2017 12 12.5N 32.1W 1004 44 0000UTC 17.09.2017 24 13.0N 33.5W 1003 41 1200UTC 17.09.2017 36 12.8N 34.7W 999 44 0000UTC 18.09.2017 48 13.3N 35.7W 1000 43 1200UTC 18.09.2017 60 14.2N 36.8W 1002 43 0000UTC 19.09.2017 72 15.4N 38.0W 1005 41 1200UTC 19.09.2017 84 16.7N 39.1W 1007 38 0000UTC 20.09.2017 96 18.3N 40.5W 1008 35 1200UTC 20.09.2017 108 19.5N 41.0W 1008 37 0000UTC 21.09.2017 120 20.3N 42.2W 1010 31 1200UTC 21.09.2017 132 21.8N 43.4W 1012 23 0000UTC 22.09.2017 144 23.8N 44.7W 1014 21 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 27.2N 70.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 0 27.2N 70.7W 979 66 1200UTC 16.09.2017 12 28.1N 72.2W 972 67 0000UTC 17.09.2017 24 28.9N 72.4W 962 70 1200UTC 17.09.2017 36 30.0N 72.0W 951 81 0000UTC 18.09.2017 48 31.6N 71.3W 940 84 1200UTC 18.09.2017 60 33.4N 71.3W 938 88 0000UTC 19.09.2017 72 35.0N 71.5W 943 76 1200UTC 19.09.2017 84 36.9N 71.5W 943 73 0000UTC 20.09.2017 96 38.9N 71.7W 948 66 1200UTC 20.09.2017 108 41.0N 70.6W 964 51 0000UTC 21.09.2017 120 42.2N 69.1W 979 43 1200UTC 21.09.2017 132 41.9N 67.7W 991 40 0000UTC 22.09.2017 144 41.2N 67.3W 1001 35 TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.8N 110.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 0 18.8N 110.6W 983 54 1200UTC 16.09.2017 12 18.8N 110.5W 977 59 0000UTC 17.09.2017 24 19.7N 110.6W 973 59 1200UTC 17.09.2017 36 20.5N 111.1W 973 66 0000UTC 18.09.2017 48 21.6N 111.8W 973 64 1200UTC 18.09.2017 60 22.3N 112.7W 977 59 0000UTC 19.09.2017 72 23.0N 113.4W 990 48 1200UTC 19.09.2017 84 23.3N 114.2W 999 34 0000UTC 20.09.2017 96 23.4N 114.3W 1003 28 1200UTC 20.09.2017 108 23.8N 114.1W 1006 24 0000UTC 21.09.2017 120 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.2N 49.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 16.09.2017 12 12.2N 49.5W 1010 27 0000UTC 17.09.2017 24 13.0N 52.8W 1007 33 1200UTC 17.09.2017 36 13.3N 55.1W 1005 36 0000UTC 18.09.2017 48 13.9N 56.3W 1001 42 1200UTC 18.09.2017 60 14.2N 57.5W 997 46 0000UTC 19.09.2017 72 14.8N 58.6W 990 55 1200UTC 19.09.2017 84 15.6N 59.9W 982 63 0000UTC 20.09.2017 96 16.5N 61.4W 975 67 1200UTC 20.09.2017 108 17.2N 62.9W 973 66 0000UTC 21.09.2017 120 17.7N 64.4W 963 69 1200UTC 21.09.2017 132 18.0N 65.8W 962 74 0000UTC 22.09.2017 144 19.0N 66.8W 947 82 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 11.5N 139.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 17.09.2017 36 11.6N 139.4W 1007 23 0000UTC 18.09.2017 48 11.9N 139.9W 1007 25 1200UTC 18.09.2017 60 12.5N 140.2W 1005 26 0000UTC 19.09.2017 72 13.3N 140.4W 1005 33 1200UTC 19.09.2017 84 13.4N 140.9W 1007 27 0000UTC 20.09.2017 96 13.4N 141.8W 1008 26 1200UTC 20.09.2017 108 13.3N 143.2W 1010 22 0000UTC 21.09.2017 120 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.3N 134.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 18.09.2017 60 13.3N 134.3W 1008 22 0000UTC 19.09.2017 72 13.4N 133.8W 1008 25 1200UTC 19.09.2017 84 12.9N 133.6W 1009 22 0000UTC 20.09.2017 96 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 9.7N 163.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 72 10.0N 164.7W 1006 25 1200UTC 19.09.2017 84 10.5N 166.6W 1005 26 0000UTC 20.09.2017 96 11.6N 168.7W 1003 32 1200UTC 20.09.2017 108 12.8N 171.2W 1002 43 0000UTC 21.09.2017 120 13.6N 173.4W 1001 37 1200UTC 21.09.2017 132 14.5N 175.5W 1002 39 0000UTC 22.09.2017 144 15.0N 177.9W 1003 39 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 160406