WTNT82 EGRR 151606 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 15.09.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAX ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 96.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2017 0 18.7N 96.6W 1009 18 0000UTC 16.09.2017 12 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 124.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2017 0 16.3N 124.6W 1003 27 0000UTC 16.09.2017 12 16.0N 125.2W 1001 29 1200UTC 16.09.2017 24 15.6N 125.9W 1000 33 0000UTC 17.09.2017 36 15.4N 126.4W 999 34 1200UTC 17.09.2017 48 15.3N 126.8W 997 37 0000UTC 18.09.2017 60 15.7N 126.8W 995 39 1200UTC 18.09.2017 72 16.6N 126.5W 990 53 0000UTC 19.09.2017 84 17.6N 126.4W 992 51 1200UTC 19.09.2017 96 18.3N 126.8W 1001 35 0000UTC 20.09.2017 108 18.4N 127.3W 1005 28 1200UTC 20.09.2017 120 18.4N 128.3W 1008 24 0000UTC 21.09.2017 132 18.2N 129.6W 1008 23 1200UTC 21.09.2017 144 17.7N 131.1W 1010 20 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14L ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 27.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2017 0 11.4N 27.7W 1006 44 0000UTC 16.09.2017 12 12.1N 29.6W 1006 33 1200UTC 16.09.2017 24 12.4N 31.4W 1003 41 0000UTC 17.09.2017 36 12.5N 33.0W 999 45 1200UTC 17.09.2017 48 12.5N 34.2W 996 49 0000UTC 18.09.2017 60 12.9N 35.2W 999 48 1200UTC 18.09.2017 72 13.9N 36.5W 1001 45 0000UTC 19.09.2017 84 15.4N 37.8W 1004 42 1200UTC 19.09.2017 96 17.0N 38.9W 1006 40 0000UTC 20.09.2017 108 19.0N 39.6W 1008 36 1200UTC 20.09.2017 120 20.3N 40.6W 1009 37 0000UTC 21.09.2017 132 21.2N 42.4W 1011 30 1200UTC 21.09.2017 144 22.8N 43.8W 1012 26 TROPICAL STORM JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 25.9N 69.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2017 0 25.9N 69.4W 984 63 0000UTC 16.09.2017 12 27.0N 71.0W 981 66 1200UTC 16.09.2017 24 28.1N 72.5W 975 68 0000UTC 17.09.2017 36 28.9N 72.8W 967 71 1200UTC 17.09.2017 48 30.0N 72.7W 953 78 0000UTC 18.09.2017 60 31.5N 72.0W 946 82 1200UTC 18.09.2017 72 32.8N 71.7W 939 85 0000UTC 19.09.2017 84 34.3N 71.3W 943 80 1200UTC 19.09.2017 96 36.1N 71.4W 948 70 0000UTC 20.09.2017 108 38.2N 71.2W 947 66 1200UTC 20.09.2017 120 40.1N 69.8W 958 57 0000UTC 21.09.2017 132 41.6N 66.6W 970 52 1200UTC 21.09.2017 144 42.9N 62.4W 978 52 TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.4N 109.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2017 0 18.4N 109.9W 995 39 0000UTC 16.09.2017 12 18.8N 110.4W 988 50 1200UTC 16.09.2017 24 18.9N 110.7W 982 57 0000UTC 17.09.2017 36 19.5N 110.9W 973 59 1200UTC 17.09.2017 48 20.3N 111.4W 969 64 0000UTC 18.09.2017 60 21.4N 112.2W 968 69 1200UTC 18.09.2017 72 22.2N 113.0W 975 62 0000UTC 19.09.2017 84 23.1N 113.9W 987 51 1200UTC 19.09.2017 96 23.6N 114.7W 997 37 0000UTC 20.09.2017 108 23.9N 114.6W 1001 27 1200UTC 20.09.2017 120 24.1N 113.8W 1005 29 0000UTC 21.09.2017 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.1N 137.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 12 12.1N 137.3W 1007 20 1200UTC 16.09.2017 24 12.0N 138.0W 1007 22 0000UTC 17.09.2017 36 12.0N 138.5W 1006 26 1200UTC 17.09.2017 48 12.2N 139.0W 1005 28 0000UTC 18.09.2017 60 12.8N 139.4W 1004 28 1200UTC 18.09.2017 72 13.6N 139.8W 1002 34 0000UTC 19.09.2017 84 14.2N 139.6W 1001 41 1200UTC 19.09.2017 96 14.2N 139.7W 1005 34 0000UTC 20.09.2017 108 13.9N 140.1W 1007 28 1200UTC 20.09.2017 120 13.5N 140.6W 1009 23 0000UTC 21.09.2017 132 13.0N 140.9W 1008 21 1200UTC 21.09.2017 144 12.5N 141.4W 1009 19 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 12.2N 49.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 16.09.2017 24 12.2N 49.6W 1009 29 0000UTC 17.09.2017 36 13.0N 53.2W 1005 34 1200UTC 17.09.2017 48 13.5N 55.3W 1002 40 0000UTC 18.09.2017 60 14.3N 56.7W 997 48 1200UTC 18.09.2017 72 14.8N 58.1W 991 53 0000UTC 19.09.2017 84 15.3N 59.3W 984 61 1200UTC 19.09.2017 96 16.2N 60.8W 978 64 0000UTC 20.09.2017 108 17.2N 62.4W 974 67 1200UTC 20.09.2017 120 18.3N 64.0W 973 66 0000UTC 21.09.2017 132 19.0N 65.2W 964 72 1200UTC 21.09.2017 144 19.8N 65.9W 950 80 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 9.9N 162.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 84 10.2N 164.2W 1006 27 1200UTC 19.09.2017 96 10.8N 165.9W 1004 29 0000UTC 20.09.2017 108 11.9N 168.0W 1003 31 1200UTC 20.09.2017 120 13.1N 170.3W 999 43 0000UTC 21.09.2017 132 13.9N 172.7W 999 41 1200UTC 21.09.2017 144 14.4N 174.6W 1000 42 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151606