WTNT82 EGRR 141607 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 14.09.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 122.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 0 15.9N 122.6W 1003 27 0000UTC 15.09.2017 12 16.3N 123.3W 1003 26 1200UTC 15.09.2017 24 16.6N 124.9W 1001 34 0000UTC 16.09.2017 36 16.4N 125.8W 998 37 1200UTC 16.09.2017 48 16.2N 126.6W 997 36 0000UTC 17.09.2017 60 16.1N 127.2W 995 41 1200UTC 17.09.2017 72 16.4N 127.6W 993 42 0000UTC 18.09.2017 84 16.9N 127.5W 990 49 1200UTC 18.09.2017 96 17.3N 126.9W 986 58 0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 17.8N 126.4W 990 52 1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 18.1N 126.3W 999 44 0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 18.4N 126.6W 1003 37 1200UTC 20.09.2017 144 18.6N 127.7W 1005 30 TROPICAL STORM JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.7N 66.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 0 24.7N 66.2W 981 64 0000UTC 15.09.2017 12 25.2N 67.9W 984 63 1200UTC 15.09.2017 24 25.8N 70.0W 980 64 0000UTC 16.09.2017 36 26.7N 72.0W 975 69 1200UTC 16.09.2017 48 27.8N 73.5W 971 73 0000UTC 17.09.2017 60 28.6N 74.1W 966 70 1200UTC 17.09.2017 72 29.5N 74.3W 953 78 0000UTC 18.09.2017 84 30.6N 74.1W 944 83 1200UTC 18.09.2017 96 31.7N 74.6W 936 82 0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 32.7N 74.8W 947 73 1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 34.4N 74.8W 941 76 0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 36.6N 74.5W 942 74 1200UTC 20.09.2017 144 38.6N 73.9W 955 60 HURRICANE MAX ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 100.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 0 16.3N 100.2W 1004 42 0000UTC 15.09.2017 12 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.7N 110.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 0 16.7N 110.2W 1005 32 0000UTC 15.09.2017 12 17.7N 109.9W 1002 36 1200UTC 15.09.2017 24 19.2N 110.1W 997 42 0000UTC 16.09.2017 36 19.4N 110.4W 992 45 1200UTC 16.09.2017 48 19.5N 110.4W 988 49 0000UTC 17.09.2017 60 20.4N 110.1W 976 63 1200UTC 17.09.2017 72 21.3N 110.7W 972 67 0000UTC 18.09.2017 84 22.2N 111.6W 979 56 1200UTC 18.09.2017 96 23.1N 112.7W 989 53 0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 24.2N 113.6W 997 36 1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 25.2N 114.2W 1004 29 0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 11.2N 22.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 15.09.2017 12 11.3N 24.4W 1010 30 1200UTC 15.09.2017 24 11.7N 27.2W 1005 41 0000UTC 16.09.2017 36 12.0N 29.0W 1001 46 1200UTC 16.09.2017 48 12.0N 30.4W 996 48 0000UTC 17.09.2017 60 12.0N 31.6W 994 50 1200UTC 17.09.2017 72 12.1N 32.6W 996 48 0000UTC 18.09.2017 84 12.6N 33.6W 998 48 1200UTC 18.09.2017 96 13.5N 35.2W 1001 44 0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 14.5N 37.3W 1004 40 1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 15.5N 39.4W 1006 40 0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 16.7N 41.0W 1005 40 1200UTC 20.09.2017 144 17.7N 42.0W 1004 45 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.5N 44.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 36 11.5N 44.3W 1010 29 1200UTC 16.09.2017 48 12.4N 48.8W 1004 37 0000UTC 17.09.2017 60 13.3N 51.8W 1000 38 1200UTC 17.09.2017 72 14.2N 54.1W 998 43 0000UTC 18.09.2017 84 15.0N 55.5W 993 50 1200UTC 18.09.2017 96 15.8N 56.5W 988 59 0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 16.6N 57.5W 983 61 1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 17.3N 58.8W 981 61 0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 17.9N 60.2W 977 66 1200UTC 20.09.2017 144 18.5N 61.6W 973 67 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.0N 136.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 36 12.0N 136.4W 1007 21 1200UTC 16.09.2017 48 12.6N 136.4W 1008 20 0000UTC 17.09.2017 60 12.7N 137.1W 1007 24 1200UTC 17.09.2017 72 12.7N 137.5W 1007 22 0000UTC 18.09.2017 84 13.0N 137.5W 1006 23 1200UTC 18.09.2017 96 13.5N 137.6W 1005 33 0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 13.6N 137.4W 1005 31 1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 13.5N 137.3W 1007 29 0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 13.4N 137.4W 1007 26 1200UTC 20.09.2017 144 12.8N 137.6W 1009 22 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 9.9N 162.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 10.0N 163.4W 1005 26 1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 10.8N 165.5W 1003 33 0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 12.3N 167.1W 996 45 1200UTC 20.09.2017 144 13.4N 168.7W 997 46 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 141607