WTNT82 EGRR 191609 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 19.09.2017 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 36.2N 71.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 0 36.2N 71.6W 967 58 0000UTC 20.09.2017 12 37.7N 71.0W 967 61 1200UTC 20.09.2017 24 38.9N 69.8W 969 52 0000UTC 21.09.2017 36 40.0N 68.3W 974 47 1200UTC 21.09.2017 48 40.0N 67.5W 981 44 0000UTC 22.09.2017 60 39.6N 67.9W 985 44 1200UTC 22.09.2017 72 39.1N 68.7W 989 41 0000UTC 23.09.2017 84 38.7N 69.2W 992 39 1200UTC 23.09.2017 96 38.2N 70.0W 994 36 0000UTC 24.09.2017 108 37.8N 70.9W 996 40 1200UTC 24.09.2017 120 37.8N 72.0W 998 38 0000UTC 25.09.2017 132 38.0N 73.9W 999 42 1200UTC 25.09.2017 144 38.2N 75.9W 1001 35 HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 62.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 0 16.2N 62.8W 970 71 0000UTC 20.09.2017 12 16.9N 64.4W 971 68 1200UTC 20.09.2017 24 18.0N 65.9W 972 63 0000UTC 21.09.2017 36 19.0N 67.3W 966 73 1200UTC 21.09.2017 48 20.0N 68.7W 963 75 0000UTC 22.09.2017 60 20.9N 70.1W 956 80 1200UTC 22.09.2017 72 22.0N 70.9W 957 76 0000UTC 23.09.2017 84 23.4N 71.3W 951 76 1200UTC 23.09.2017 96 25.0N 71.7W 942 83 0000UTC 24.09.2017 108 26.7N 71.7W 939 82 1200UTC 24.09.2017 120 28.1N 71.5W 934 82 0000UTC 25.09.2017 132 29.7N 70.3W 935 83 1200UTC 25.09.2017 144 31.4N 69.6W 936 84 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.6N 114.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 0 21.6N 114.1W 1005 27 0000UTC 20.09.2017 12 22.3N 115.1W 1006 22 1200UTC 20.09.2017 24 23.0N 115.7W 1009 20 0000UTC 21.09.2017 36 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTIS ANALYSED POSITION : 19.2N 128.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 0 19.2N 128.2W 1005 30 0000UTC 20.09.2017 12 18.6N 129.3W 1007 27 1200UTC 20.09.2017 24 17.7N 130.3W 1009 23 0000UTC 21.09.2017 36 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 16.6N 43.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 0 16.6N 43.3W 1011 29 0000UTC 20.09.2017 12 17.9N 44.7W 1011 31 1200UTC 20.09.2017 24 19.1N 45.8W 1011 31 0000UTC 21.09.2017 36 20.4N 46.8W 1012 33 1200UTC 21.09.2017 48 21.9N 48.2W 1011 25 0000UTC 22.09.2017 60 24.3N 48.5W 1012 26 1200UTC 22.09.2017 72 27.3N 49.5W 1012 25 0000UTC 23.09.2017 84 29.2N 50.6W 1010 27 1200UTC 23.09.2017 96 30.5N 51.1W 1009 30 0000UTC 24.09.2017 108 31.3N 50.9W 1006 38 1200UTC 24.09.2017 120 31.6N 50.2W 1001 53 0000UTC 25.09.2017 132 31.9N 49.7W 991 49 1200UTC 25.09.2017 144 32.3N 49.7W 986 55 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 10.2N 167.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 20.09.2017 12 10.8N 168.3W 1005 27 1200UTC 20.09.2017 24 12.4N 170.3W 1007 29 0000UTC 21.09.2017 36 13.6N 172.9W 1006 34 1200UTC 21.09.2017 48 14.5N 176.0W 1008 36 0000UTC 22.09.2017 60 15.3N 179.6W 1008 33 1200UTC 22.09.2017 72 15.5N 176.9E 1009 32 0000UTC 23.09.2017 84 15.0N 173.2E 1009 30 1200UTC 23.09.2017 96 14.0N 170.4E 1007 35 0000UTC 24.09.2017 108 13.4N 168.1E 1006 37 1200UTC 24.09.2017 120 13.6N 165.7E 1006 34 0000UTC 25.09.2017 132 14.2N 163.2E 1006 33 1200UTC 25.09.2017 144 14.9N 160.8E 1006 33 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.3N 161.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 21.09.2017 48 13.0N 161.4W 1007 29 0000UTC 22.09.2017 60 12.5N 162.1W 1006 32 1200UTC 22.09.2017 72 12.6N 162.7W 1006 30 0000UTC 23.09.2017 84 13.5N 163.6W 1005 32 1200UTC 23.09.2017 96 14.5N 165.2W 1007 28 0000UTC 24.09.2017 108 15.4N 166.7W 1007 27 1200UTC 24.09.2017 120 16.2N 168.4W 1008 24 0000UTC 25.09.2017 132 16.7N 170.0W 1009 21 1200UTC 25.09.2017 144 16.7N 171.6W 1009 22 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 18.0N 105.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 84 18.1N 106.0W 1001 31 1200UTC 23.09.2017 96 18.7N 106.4W 1001 32 0000UTC 24.09.2017 108 19.3N 106.6W 1001 31 1200UTC 24.09.2017 120 19.7N 106.6W 1001 30 0000UTC 25.09.2017 132 19.9N 106.5W 1002 28 1200UTC 25.09.2017 144 20.0N 106.6W 1002 29 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 10.4N 147.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 24.09.2017 120 10.0N 148.3W 1008 20 0000UTC 25.09.2017 132 9.7N 149.3W 1007 22 1200UTC 25.09.2017 144 10.0N 149.8W 1007 23 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 191609