WTNT82 EGRR 180406 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 18.09.2017 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 31.7N 71.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2017 0 31.7N 71.5W 959 76 1200UTC 18.09.2017 12 33.5N 71.5W 957 70 0000UTC 19.09.2017 24 35.0N 72.0W 950 72 1200UTC 19.09.2017 36 36.1N 72.2W 950 68 0000UTC 20.09.2017 48 37.6N 71.7W 952 67 1200UTC 20.09.2017 60 39.2N 71.2W 965 51 0000UTC 21.09.2017 72 39.6N 70.4W 974 50 1200UTC 21.09.2017 84 39.4N 69.7W 984 41 0000UTC 22.09.2017 96 39.2N 69.3W 990 37 1200UTC 22.09.2017 108 39.1N 69.8W 995 37 0000UTC 23.09.2017 120 39.0N 69.8W 998 34 1200UTC 23.09.2017 132 38.9N 70.3W 1001 31 0000UTC 24.09.2017 144 38.4N 70.8W 1005 28 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 37.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2017 0 13.3N 37.9W 1008 29 1200UTC 18.09.2017 12 14.7N 39.8W 1010 28 0000UTC 19.09.2017 24 16.1N 41.3W 1010 29 1200UTC 19.09.2017 36 17.6N 41.9W 1010 30 0000UTC 20.09.2017 48 19.2N 42.5W 1010 36 1200UTC 20.09.2017 60 20.7N 43.3W 1010 40 0000UTC 21.09.2017 72 22.0N 44.5W 1010 31 1200UTC 21.09.2017 84 23.9N 45.7W 1010 30 0000UTC 22.09.2017 96 27.0N 46.6W 1009 35 1200UTC 22.09.2017 108 28.9N 48.5W 1002 37 0000UTC 23.09.2017 120 29.4N 49.3W 1000 42 1200UTC 23.09.2017 132 30.2N 49.2W 999 46 0000UTC 24.09.2017 144 31.0N 47.8W 988 56 HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 57.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2017 0 13.9N 57.9W 986 61 1200UTC 18.09.2017 12 14.6N 59.5W 984 56 0000UTC 19.09.2017 24 15.2N 60.6W 982 60 1200UTC 19.09.2017 36 16.2N 61.7W 979 61 0000UTC 20.09.2017 48 17.2N 63.1W 974 66 1200UTC 20.09.2017 60 18.2N 64.6W 969 72 0000UTC 21.09.2017 72 19.0N 66.1W 954 79 1200UTC 21.09.2017 84 19.7N 67.5W 953 77 0000UTC 22.09.2017 96 20.6N 68.7W 946 89 1200UTC 22.09.2017 108 22.0N 69.8W 946 86 0000UTC 23.09.2017 120 23.7N 70.6W 945 80 1200UTC 23.09.2017 132 25.3N 71.5W 937 81 0000UTC 24.09.2017 144 27.4N 71.6W 933 84 TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 111.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2017 0 21.1N 111.2W 999 34 1200UTC 18.09.2017 12 21.7N 112.5W 1000 34 0000UTC 19.09.2017 24 22.0N 113.5W 1002 36 1200UTC 19.09.2017 36 22.8N 114.2W 1006 26 0000UTC 20.09.2017 48 23.6N 114.3W 1007 20 1200UTC 20.09.2017 60 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE OTIS ANALYSED POSITION : 17.4N 127.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2017 0 17.4N 127.2W 994 48 1200UTC 18.09.2017 12 18.1N 127.3W 996 41 0000UTC 19.09.2017 24 18.5N 127.3W 1001 37 1200UTC 19.09.2017 36 18.1N 127.8W 1006 26 0000UTC 20.09.2017 48 17.5N 128.6W 1007 27 1200UTC 20.09.2017 60 16.5N 129.4W 1008 22 0000UTC 21.09.2017 72 15.8N 130.4W 1008 23 1200UTC 21.09.2017 84 15.2N 131.6W 1009 21 0000UTC 22.09.2017 96 14.8N 132.7W 1009 21 1200UTC 22.09.2017 108 14.4N 133.9W 1008 21 0000UTC 23.09.2017 120 14.0N 135.0W 1008 19 1200UTC 23.09.2017 132 13.5N 136.1W 1008 20 0000UTC 24.09.2017 144 12.8N 137.1W 1007 20 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 9.7N 163.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 24 9.6N 164.8W 1006 23 1200UTC 19.09.2017 36 9.5N 166.4W 1006 23 0000UTC 20.09.2017 48 10.8N 168.0W 1004 30 1200UTC 20.09.2017 60 12.2N 170.1W 1003 36 0000UTC 21.09.2017 72 13.4N 172.1W 1005 33 1200UTC 21.09.2017 84 14.0N 174.3W 1008 30 0000UTC 22.09.2017 96 14.7N 177.0W 1009 29 1200UTC 22.09.2017 108 14.8N 180.0E 1009 27 0000UTC 23.09.2017 120 14.8N 176.9E 1009 26 1200UTC 23.09.2017 132 14.5N 173.9E 1009 25 0000UTC 24.09.2017 144 14.1N 171.1E 1008 24 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.9N 139.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 24 13.2N 139.5W 1007 22 1200UTC 19.09.2017 36 13.6N 139.6W 1008 22 0000UTC 20.09.2017 48 13.9N 139.7W 1008 23 1200UTC 20.09.2017 60 13.6N 140.6W 1009 23 0000UTC 21.09.2017 72 13.3N 141.1W 1009 23 1200UTC 21.09.2017 84 13.1N 141.8W 1009 21 0000UTC 22.09.2017 96 12.7N 142.7W 1009 22 1200UTC 22.09.2017 108 12.1N 143.6W 1009 20 0000UTC 23.09.2017 120 11.7N 143.9W 1008 19 1200UTC 23.09.2017 132 11.3N 144.4W 1007 19 0000UTC 24.09.2017 144 10.6N 145.2W 1007 22 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 13.4N 157.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 20.09.2017 60 13.7N 157.9W 1008 24 0000UTC 21.09.2017 72 13.4N 158.7W 1008 24 1200UTC 21.09.2017 84 13.2N 159.6W 1009 21 0000UTC 22.09.2017 96 13.2N 160.3W 1008 23 1200UTC 22.09.2017 108 13.9N 161.7W 1008 23 0000UTC 23.09.2017 120 14.5N 163.4W 1007 24 1200UTC 23.09.2017 132 15.2N 165.0W 1008 20 0000UTC 24.09.2017 144 15.9N 166.4W 1008 19 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 13.0N 93.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 120 13.0N 93.3W 1002 31 1200UTC 23.09.2017 132 13.3N 93.3W 993 43 0000UTC 24.09.2017 144 13.3N 93.4W 984 58 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 180406