WTNT82 EGRR 091612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 09.09.2017 HURRICANE IRMA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.7N 79.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 09.09.2017 0 22.7N 79.3W 937 88 0000UTC 10.09.2017 12 23.2N 80.8W 947 80 1200UTC 10.09.2017 24 24.2N 81.5W 941 80 0000UTC 11.09.2017 36 26.0N 82.0W 929 79 1200UTC 11.09.2017 48 28.6N 82.4W 954 67 0000UTC 12.09.2017 60 31.7N 83.4W 974 48 1200UTC 12.09.2017 72 34.2N 85.1W 992 27 0000UTC 13.09.2017 84 35.5N 87.8W 999 15 1200UTC 13.09.2017 96 35.0N 89.6W 1002 18 0000UTC 14.09.2017 108 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 60.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 09.09.2017 0 18.0N 60.5W 974 76 0000UTC 10.09.2017 12 19.6N 62.9W 980 68 1200UTC 10.09.2017 24 21.3N 65.4W 981 66 0000UTC 11.09.2017 36 23.2N 67.6W 983 64 1200UTC 11.09.2017 48 25.0N 69.3W 980 63 0000UTC 12.09.2017 60 26.5N 69.9W 976 66 1200UTC 12.09.2017 72 27.0N 69.3W 973 71 0000UTC 13.09.2017 84 26.8N 67.8W 963 68 1200UTC 13.09.2017 96 25.8N 66.6W 951 76 0000UTC 14.09.2017 108 24.7N 66.6W 949 78 1200UTC 14.09.2017 120 23.6N 67.8W 942 87 0000UTC 15.09.2017 132 23.2N 69.7W 940 91 1200UTC 15.09.2017 144 23.3N 72.0W 932 93 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATIA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 99.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 09.09.2017 0 18.1N 99.7W 1011 18 0000UTC 10.09.2017 12 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 18.3N 38.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2017 72 18.3N 38.2W 1010 32 0000UTC 13.09.2017 84 21.7N 38.6W 1008 40 1200UTC 13.09.2017 96 24.7N 38.2W 1005 46 0000UTC 14.09.2017 108 27.8N 37.7W 1002 49 1200UTC 14.09.2017 120 30.5N 37.8W 995 52 0000UTC 15.09.2017 132 32.2N 38.0W 992 51 1200UTC 15.09.2017 144 33.8N 38.5W 986 59 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 12.7N 126.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 13.09.2017 84 12.7N 126.0W 1005 25 1200UTC 13.09.2017 96 12.7N 125.6W 1005 24 0000UTC 14.09.2017 108 12.9N 124.3W 1005 26 1200UTC 14.09.2017 120 13.2N 123.1W 1005 30 0000UTC 15.09.2017 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 14.4N 102.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 13.09.2017 84 14.4N 102.2W 1005 27 1200UTC 13.09.2017 96 15.8N 103.4W 1004 29 0000UTC 14.09.2017 108 16.7N 104.8W 1001 39 1200UTC 14.09.2017 120 17.5N 105.7W 997 44 0000UTC 15.09.2017 132 17.5N 104.7W 986 63 1200UTC 15.09.2017 144 17.7N 103.7W 982 62 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 14.3N 116.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 13.09.2017 96 14.3N 116.5W 1003 30 0000UTC 14.09.2017 108 15.9N 116.7W 1003 32 1200UTC 14.09.2017 120 17.2N 117.4W 1003 34 0000UTC 15.09.2017 132 18.3N 118.9W 1002 38 1200UTC 15.09.2017 144 19.1N 118.6W 1000 35 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 10.8N 27.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 120 10.9N 29.1W 1007 32 0000UTC 15.09.2017 132 12.1N 32.6W 1004 43 1200UTC 15.09.2017 144 13.2N 36.4W 999 50 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 091612