WTNT82 EGRR 130404 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 13.09.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 117.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 13.09.2017 0 15.2N 117.9W 1002 26 1200UTC 13.09.2017 12 15.0N 119.4W 1004 26 0000UTC 14.09.2017 24 15.3N 120.3W 1003 29 1200UTC 14.09.2017 36 15.4N 121.2W 1005 31 0000UTC 15.09.2017 48 15.2N 121.7W 1005 23 1200UTC 15.09.2017 60 15.0N 121.6W 1006 25 0000UTC 16.09.2017 72 14.9N 121.5W 1006 25 1200UTC 16.09.2017 84 15.0N 121.0W 1005 29 0000UTC 17.09.2017 96 15.4N 120.2W 1003 33 1200UTC 17.09.2017 108 15.8N 119.0W 1003 33 0000UTC 18.09.2017 120 15.9N 117.2W 1003 40 1200UTC 18.09.2017 132 15.5N 115.8W 1005 27 0000UTC 19.09.2017 144 14.6N 115.5W 1006 23 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 27.0N 66.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 13.09.2017 0 27.0N 66.8W 977 61 1200UTC 13.09.2017 12 26.2N 66.3W 976 64 0000UTC 14.09.2017 24 25.3N 66.3W 965 71 1200UTC 14.09.2017 36 24.9N 67.2W 960 76 0000UTC 15.09.2017 48 25.0N 68.6W 962 82 1200UTC 15.09.2017 60 25.6N 70.5W 960 79 0000UTC 16.09.2017 72 26.2N 72.5W 959 76 1200UTC 16.09.2017 84 26.6N 74.0W 952 81 0000UTC 17.09.2017 96 27.2N 74.8W 942 85 1200UTC 17.09.2017 108 28.0N 75.2W 929 87 0000UTC 18.09.2017 120 28.9N 75.2W 927 89 1200UTC 18.09.2017 132 30.1N 75.5W 921 90 0000UTC 19.09.2017 144 31.1N 75.4W 919 87 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 16.5N 112.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 14.09.2017 24 16.5N 112.9W 1002 33 1200UTC 14.09.2017 36 18.0N 113.4W 1000 39 0000UTC 15.09.2017 48 19.1N 114.2W 997 41 1200UTC 15.09.2017 60 19.8N 113.7W 995 40 0000UTC 16.09.2017 72 21.1N 113.0W 991 47 1200UTC 16.09.2017 84 22.0N 111.8W 981 53 0000UTC 17.09.2017 96 23.3N 111.1W 972 59 1200UTC 17.09.2017 108 24.9N 111.1W 985 50 0000UTC 18.09.2017 120 26.8N 111.1W 989 52 1200UTC 18.09.2017 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 10.4N 135.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 36 10.4N 135.4W 1006 25 0000UTC 15.09.2017 48 11.1N 136.4W 1006 27 1200UTC 15.09.2017 60 11.7N 136.6W 1006 28 0000UTC 16.09.2017 72 12.2N 137.2W 1005 26 1200UTC 16.09.2017 84 13.0N 138.2W 1005 27 0000UTC 17.09.2017 96 13.3N 139.5W 1002 35 1200UTC 17.09.2017 108 13.8N 140.8W 1000 37 0000UTC 18.09.2017 120 14.2N 142.3W 998 38 1200UTC 18.09.2017 132 14.4N 143.7W 998 40 0000UTC 19.09.2017 144 14.4N 144.6W 1000 43 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.3N 35.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 72 13.3N 35.2W 1009 31 1200UTC 16.09.2017 84 14.6N 37.9W 1006 35 0000UTC 17.09.2017 96 15.5N 39.2W 1005 34 1200UTC 17.09.2017 108 16.4N 39.2W 1004 37 0000UTC 18.09.2017 120 18.0N 38.9W 1004 40 1200UTC 18.09.2017 132 19.7N 38.9W 1005 39 0000UTC 19.09.2017 144 21.1N 39.0W 1008 42 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 130404