WTNT82 EGRR 120404 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 12.09.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N 112.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2017 0 15.7N 112.6W 1005 25 1200UTC 12.09.2017 12 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM IRMA ANALYSED POSITION : 31.9N 84.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2017 0 31.9N 84.4W 989 32 1200UTC 12.09.2017 12 33.7N 86.4W 999 23 0000UTC 13.09.2017 24 35.2N 88.2W 1002 14 1200UTC 13.09.2017 36 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 26.9N 69.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2017 0 26.9N 69.6W 970 69 1200UTC 12.09.2017 12 27.4N 68.5W 966 71 0000UTC 13.09.2017 24 26.7N 66.6W 963 71 1200UTC 13.09.2017 36 25.3N 65.7W 965 74 0000UTC 14.09.2017 48 24.1N 65.7W 963 74 1200UTC 14.09.2017 60 23.3N 67.0W 959 82 0000UTC 15.09.2017 72 23.1N 69.0W 960 81 1200UTC 15.09.2017 84 23.2N 71.7W 957 79 0000UTC 16.09.2017 96 23.6N 74.2W 951 83 1200UTC 16.09.2017 108 24.2N 76.7W 945 84 0000UTC 17.09.2017 120 24.9N 78.6W 946 89 1200UTC 17.09.2017 132 26.0N 80.0W 937 84 0000UTC 18.09.2017 144 27.2N 81.1W 958 61 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 10.9N 135.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 60 11.1N 135.2W 1006 26 0000UTC 15.09.2017 72 11.6N 135.5W 1005 28 1200UTC 15.09.2017 84 11.9N 135.7W 1006 28 0000UTC 16.09.2017 96 12.7N 135.9W 1005 29 1200UTC 16.09.2017 108 13.1N 136.2W 1005 27 0000UTC 17.09.2017 120 13.6N 136.6W 1005 27 1200UTC 17.09.2017 132 14.0N 137.1W 1005 26 0000UTC 18.09.2017 144 14.2N 137.8W 1004 25 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 17.0N 117.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 60 17.0N 117.9W 1000 36 0000UTC 15.09.2017 72 18.1N 118.1W 997 35 1200UTC 15.09.2017 84 18.8N 118.3W 995 40 0000UTC 16.09.2017 96 19.3N 118.1W 993 43 1200UTC 16.09.2017 108 19.6N 118.3W 989 50 0000UTC 17.09.2017 120 20.0N 117.9W 981 59 1200UTC 17.09.2017 132 21.0N 117.9W 976 55 0000UTC 18.09.2017 144 22.2N 118.2W 980 54 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 19.2N 106.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2017 84 19.2N 106.6W 1007 29 0000UTC 16.09.2017 96 18.2N 105.9W 1004 36 1200UTC 16.09.2017 108 17.9N 105.0W 1005 30 0000UTC 17.09.2017 120 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.6N 39.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2017 96 12.5N 41.4W 1007 34 1200UTC 16.09.2017 108 13.3N 45.2W 1000 44 0000UTC 17.09.2017 120 14.5N 47.8W 996 50 1200UTC 17.09.2017 132 15.3N 49.5W 991 54 0000UTC 18.09.2017 144 16.4N 49.9W 984 61 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 34.7N 37.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 17.09.2017 132 35.0N 37.6W 1013 25 0000UTC 18.09.2017 144 36.8N 37.7W 1013 25 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 120404