WTNT82 EGRR 101612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 10.09.2017 HURRICANE IRMA ANALYSED POSITION : 24.5N 81.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.09.2017 0 24.5N 81.3W 938 85 0000UTC 11.09.2017 12 26.7N 81.8W 942 73 1200UTC 11.09.2017 24 29.7N 82.9W 962 63 0000UTC 12.09.2017 36 32.2N 84.6W 984 33 1200UTC 12.09.2017 48 34.4N 86.8W 998 24 0000UTC 13.09.2017 60 35.1N 89.4W 1002 15 1200UTC 13.09.2017 72 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 21.2N 65.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.09.2017 0 21.2N 65.2W 985 67 0000UTC 11.09.2017 12 23.3N 67.3W 985 63 1200UTC 11.09.2017 24 25.3N 69.0W 989 54 0000UTC 12.09.2017 36 26.7N 69.2W 983 62 1200UTC 12.09.2017 48 26.8N 68.3W 974 66 0000UTC 13.09.2017 60 25.9N 67.0W 964 70 1200UTC 13.09.2017 72 24.5N 66.5W 959 75 0000UTC 14.09.2017 84 23.2N 66.8W 955 81 1200UTC 14.09.2017 96 22.3N 68.2W 951 76 0000UTC 15.09.2017 108 22.0N 70.1W 945 87 1200UTC 15.09.2017 120 22.2N 72.6W 939 92 0000UTC 16.09.2017 132 22.8N 74.8W 935 93 1200UTC 16.09.2017 144 23.8N 76.9W 922 98 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.8N 104.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 13.09.2017 60 15.7N 105.1W 1004 27 1200UTC 13.09.2017 72 16.9N 106.5W 1005 26 0000UTC 14.09.2017 84 18.2N 107.3W 1005 24 1200UTC 14.09.2017 96 19.3N 108.0W 1005 30 0000UTC 15.09.2017 108 19.4N 108.3W 998 44 1200UTC 15.09.2017 120 19.4N 107.3W 991 48 0000UTC 16.09.2017 132 19.2N 107.1W 987 53 1200UTC 16.09.2017 144 18.6N 107.1W 979 63 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 20.3N 37.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 13.09.2017 60 21.2N 37.9W 1011 36 1200UTC 13.09.2017 72 24.1N 39.4W 1010 37 0000UTC 14.09.2017 84 25.9N 40.6W 1010 35 1200UTC 14.09.2017 96 27.6N 40.5W 1011 31 0000UTC 15.09.2017 108 29.2N 39.6W 1012 32 1200UTC 15.09.2017 120 31.3N 38.6W 1012 33 0000UTC 16.09.2017 132 32.8N 38.0W 1010 37 1200UTC 16.09.2017 144 34.4N 37.5W 1008 41 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 40.0N 53.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 13.09.2017 60 40.0N 53.8W 983 35 1200UTC 13.09.2017 72 41.3N 51.6W 984 39 0000UTC 14.09.2017 84 42.9N 50.6W 989 32 1200UTC 14.09.2017 96 44.0N 49.7W 998 26 0000UTC 15.09.2017 108 45.1N 48.6W 1006 20 1200UTC 15.09.2017 120 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.8N 132.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 13.09.2017 72 11.2N 132.4W 1005 25 0000UTC 14.09.2017 84 11.8N 132.9W 1005 27 1200UTC 14.09.2017 96 11.9N 133.5W 1005 29 0000UTC 15.09.2017 108 12.6N 134.0W 1003 29 1200UTC 15.09.2017 120 13.8N 134.8W 1002 35 0000UTC 16.09.2017 132 14.7N 135.5W 1002 38 1200UTC 16.09.2017 144 15.5N 136.2W 1003 34 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 16.3N 118.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 15.09.2017 108 17.0N 118.7W 1003 33 1200UTC 15.09.2017 120 17.5N 118.4W 1003 30 0000UTC 16.09.2017 132 18.4N 118.2W 1001 36 1200UTC 16.09.2017 144 19.3N 117.7W 996 46 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101612