WTNT82 EGRR 100414 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 10.09.2017 HURRICANE IRMA ANALYSED POSITION : 23.6N 80.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 10.09.2017 0 23.6N 80.5W 938 89 1200UTC 10.09.2017 12 24.7N 81.2W 939 87 0000UTC 11.09.2017 24 26.9N 81.4W 944 76 1200UTC 11.09.2017 36 29.7N 82.4W 964 64 0000UTC 12.09.2017 48 32.5N 83.8W 984 38 1200UTC 12.09.2017 60 34.9N 86.1W 997 22 0000UTC 13.09.2017 72 35.8N 88.7W 1001 14 1200UTC 13.09.2017 84 35.4N 90.0W 1005 16 0000UTC 14.09.2017 96 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 63.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 10.09.2017 0 19.4N 63.0W 978 73 1200UTC 10.09.2017 12 20.9N 65.2W 981 66 0000UTC 11.09.2017 24 22.9N 67.1W 982 62 1200UTC 11.09.2017 36 24.9N 68.7W 984 58 0000UTC 12.09.2017 48 26.3N 69.4W 979 63 1200UTC 12.09.2017 60 26.4N 69.3W 970 72 0000UTC 13.09.2017 72 25.9N 68.5W 961 74 1200UTC 13.09.2017 84 24.7N 68.4W 960 76 0000UTC 14.09.2017 96 23.9N 69.1W 950 78 1200UTC 14.09.2017 108 23.4N 70.7W 947 84 0000UTC 15.09.2017 120 23.6N 72.6W 938 90 1200UTC 15.09.2017 132 24.2N 74.4W 933 93 0000UTC 16.09.2017 144 25.2N 75.8W 926 95 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 18.8N 38.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2017 60 18.8N 38.7W 1010 36 0000UTC 13.09.2017 72 21.7N 39.1W 1009 39 1200UTC 13.09.2017 84 24.5N 38.9W 1007 40 0000UTC 14.09.2017 96 27.2N 38.2W 1008 38 1200UTC 14.09.2017 108 29.7N 37.0W 1005 44 0000UTC 15.09.2017 120 31.7N 35.9W 1005 43 1200UTC 15.09.2017 132 33.3N 35.1W 1001 49 0000UTC 16.09.2017 144 34.4N 34.7W 989 61 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 11.6N 130.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 13.09.2017 84 11.5N 130.2W 1005 26 0000UTC 14.09.2017 96 11.8N 130.3W 1004 28 1200UTC 14.09.2017 108 12.3N 130.1W 1003 30 0000UTC 15.09.2017 120 13.3N 130.1W 1002 32 1200UTC 15.09.2017 132 14.3N 130.3W 1003 35 0000UTC 16.09.2017 144 15.0N 130.5W 1004 31 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 19.0N 106.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 108 19.2N 106.9W 1006 31 0000UTC 15.09.2017 120 18.8N 106.9W 1000 42 1200UTC 15.09.2017 132 17.8N 105.3W 996 45 0000UTC 16.09.2017 144 17.3N 105.1W 991 49 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 15.8N 118.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 108 15.8N 118.8W 1004 33 0000UTC 15.09.2017 120 17.4N 118.4W 1002 32 1200UTC 15.09.2017 132 18.7N 118.4W 1001 32 0000UTC 16.09.2017 144 19.2N 118.1W 999 31 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100414