WTNT82 EGRR 271619 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 27.08.2017 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ANALYSED POSITION : 28.9N 97.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 27.08.2017 0 28.9N 97.7W 1000 26 0000UTC 28.08.2017 12 28.5N 96.5W 999 28 1200UTC 28.08.2017 24 28.3N 95.9W 997 31 0000UTC 29.08.2017 36 28.1N 94.9W 997 39 1200UTC 29.08.2017 48 28.1N 94.4W 997 39 0000UTC 30.08.2017 60 28.2N 93.9W 997 39 1200UTC 30.08.2017 72 29.5N 93.4W 996 34 0000UTC 31.08.2017 84 31.4N 93.2W 995 30 1200UTC 31.08.2017 96 32.4N 93.0W 996 26 0000UTC 01.09.2017 108 34.6N 91.6W 999 21 1200UTC 01.09.2017 120 35.8N 91.2W 999 19 0000UTC 02.09.2017 132 36.1N 90.8W 1002 19 1200UTC 02.09.2017 144 36.2N 90.2W 1005 14 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.0N 22.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 29.08.2017 36 15.0N 22.1W 1009 23 1200UTC 29.08.2017 48 15.9N 26.3W 1006 32 0000UTC 30.08.2017 60 16.0N 28.4W 1004 31 1200UTC 30.08.2017 72 16.4N 30.4W 1001 36 0000UTC 31.08.2017 84 17.2N 32.2W 999 43 1200UTC 31.08.2017 96 18.1N 34.3W 997 45 0000UTC 01.09.2017 108 18.9N 36.6W 999 42 1200UTC 01.09.2017 120 19.4N 39.1W 999 40 0000UTC 02.09.2017 132 20.0N 41.5W 998 44 1200UTC 02.09.2017 144 20.3N 43.8W 996 47 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 31.6N 80.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 29.08.2017 36 31.6N 80.4W 1008 28 1200UTC 29.08.2017 48 33.4N 77.5W 1007 32 0000UTC 30.08.2017 60 35.8N 74.0W 1002 38 1200UTC 30.08.2017 72 37.0N 70.5W 996 46 0000UTC 31.08.2017 84 38.1N 65.1W 990 52 1200UTC 31.08.2017 96 41.1N 60.5W 971 68 0000UTC 01.09.2017 108 42.5N 54.6W 972 51 1200UTC 01.09.2017 120 44.7N 48.7W 976 47 0000UTC 02.09.2017 132 46.6N 41.7W 985 42 1200UTC 02.09.2017 144 46.7N 33.5W 994 36 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 11.9N 134.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 30.08.2017 60 12.1N 134.6W 1007 21 1200UTC 30.08.2017 72 12.4N 135.3W 1006 25 0000UTC 31.08.2017 84 12.5N 136.2W 1005 28 1200UTC 31.08.2017 96 13.0N 137.1W 1004 28 0000UTC 01.09.2017 108 13.6N 137.6W 1004 30 1200UTC 01.09.2017 120 14.0N 138.0W 1003 32 0000UTC 02.09.2017 132 14.4N 137.9W 1002 34 1200UTC 02.09.2017 144 14.9N 137.8W 1002 32 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 19.0N 108.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 30.08.2017 72 19.0N 108.3W 1002 32 0000UTC 31.08.2017 84 19.2N 109.9W 1001 33 1200UTC 31.08.2017 96 20.0N 110.3W 999 33 0000UTC 01.09.2017 108 21.4N 110.1W 995 38 1200UTC 01.09.2017 120 22.6N 110.6W 991 46 0000UTC 02.09.2017 132 23.9N 111.8W 990 43 1200UTC 02.09.2017 144 25.2N 113.2W 992 38 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 271618