WTNT82 EGRR 140419



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 14.08.2017



        TROPICAL STORM GERT       ANALYSED POSITION : 28.3N  71.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 14.08.2017    0  28.3N  71.9W     1008            31

    1200UTC 14.08.2017   12  29.7N  72.7W     1005            35

    0000UTC 15.08.2017   24  31.1N  73.1W     1001            44

    1200UTC 15.08.2017   36  32.7N  73.3W     1001            44

    0000UTC 16.08.2017   48  34.6N  72.0W     1001            44

    1200UTC 16.08.2017   60  37.0N  68.9W      998            47

    0000UTC 17.08.2017   72  38.7N  62.7W      983            60

    1200UTC 17.08.2017   84  39.8N  55.8W      986            60

    0000UTC 18.08.2017   96  41.9N  47.6W      993            50

    1200UTC 18.08.2017  108  46.6N  38.0W      985            54

    0000UTC 19.08.2017  120  52.7N  32.4W      982            49

    1200UTC 19.08.2017  132  53.3N  37.3W      987            41

    0000UTC 20.08.2017  144              CEASED TRACKING



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA       ANALYSED POSITION : 20.6N 119.1W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 14.08.2017    0  20.6N 119.1W     1005            22

    1200UTC 14.08.2017   12  20.1N 121.7W     1006            20

    0000UTC 15.08.2017   24  19.7N 123.7W     1006            20

    1200UTC 15.08.2017   36  19.3N 125.8W     1006            20

    0000UTC 16.08.2017   48              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 11.9N 139.9W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 15.08.2017   24  11.9N 139.9W     1006            23

    1200UTC 15.08.2017   36  12.9N 141.0W     1006            23

    0000UTC 16.08.2017   48  13.2N 142.2W     1007            24

    1200UTC 16.08.2017   60  13.1N 143.1W     1007            22

    0000UTC 17.08.2017   72  12.9N 143.6W     1008            21

    1200UTC 17.08.2017   84  12.6N 144.1W     1008            20

    0000UTC 18.08.2017   96  12.0N 144.2W     1007            21

    1200UTC 18.08.2017  108  11.4N 143.7W     1007            20

    0000UTC 19.08.2017  120  11.6N 143.4W     1006            25

    1200UTC 19.08.2017  132  12.0N 143.2W     1006            26

    0000UTC 20.08.2017  144  13.2N 143.4W     1007            25



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.3N 149.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 17.08.2017   72  11.7N 149.9W     1007            23

    1200UTC 17.08.2017   84  11.7N 150.8W     1007            22

    0000UTC 18.08.2017   96  11.5N 151.5W     1008            21

    1200UTC 18.08.2017  108  11.5N 152.6W     1008            20

    0000UTC 19.08.2017  120  11.6N 153.1W     1007            19

    1200UTC 19.08.2017  132              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 17.7N 108.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 18.08.2017   96  18.5N 109.1W     1003            33

    1200UTC 18.08.2017  108  19.2N 110.6W     1003            32

    0000UTC 19.08.2017  120  19.7N 111.1W     1005            27

    1200UTC 19.08.2017  132  20.2N 111.6W     1006            23

    0000UTC 20.08.2017  144  20.8N 112.1W     1005            20



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 15.4N  63.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 18.08.2017  108  15.4N  63.3W     1008            29

    0000UTC 19.08.2017  120  15.2N  67.7W     1007            28

    1200UTC 19.08.2017  132  16.0N  71.5W     1007            31

    0000UTC 20.08.2017  144  16.1N  75.0W     1005            33





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 140419