WTNT82 EGRR 311619



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 31.07.2017



        TROPICAL STORM EMILY      ANALYSED POSITION : 27.5N  83.1W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 31.07.2017    0  27.5N  83.1W     1008            28

    0000UTC 01.08.2017   12  28.0N  81.6W     1010            25

    1200UTC 01.08.2017   24  28.3N  80.5W     1012            23

    0000UTC 02.08.2017   36  29.4N  79.2W     1013            23

    1200UTC 02.08.2017   48  31.5N  76.8W     1014            24

    0000UTC 03.08.2017   60  32.8N  74.5W     1013            25

    1200UTC 03.08.2017   72  34.9N  70.1W     1013            31

    0000UTC 04.08.2017   84  36.8N  66.4W     1012            29

    1200UTC 04.08.2017   96  38.3N  62.8W     1011            30

    0000UTC 05.08.2017  108  39.8N  60.3W     1011            32

    1200UTC 05.08.2017  120  40.6N  59.3W     1009            33

    0000UTC 06.08.2017  132  41.1N  58.2W     1010            27

    1200UTC 06.08.2017  144  41.5N  56.5W     1011            25



        TROPICAL STORM IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 127.0W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 31.07.2017    0  21.1N 127.0W     1001            38

    0000UTC 01.08.2017   12  23.0N 128.0W     1005            33

    1200UTC 01.08.2017   24  24.6N 128.9W     1008            28

    0000UTC 02.08.2017   36  25.8N 129.8W     1010            24

    1200UTC 02.08.2017   48  26.6N 130.6W     1012            21

    0000UTC 03.08.2017   60  26.9N 130.8W     1013            17

    1200UTC 03.08.2017   72              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.4N 104.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 03.08.2017   72  13.4N 104.3W     1008            25

    0000UTC 04.08.2017   84  14.9N 106.9W     1005            29

    1200UTC 04.08.2017   96  16.2N 109.7W     1004            32

    0000UTC 05.08.2017  108  17.8N 111.8W     1003            33

    1200UTC 05.08.2017  120  19.1N 113.5W     1005            31

    0000UTC 06.08.2017  132  20.0N 114.8W     1005            25

    1200UTC 06.08.2017  144  20.5N 115.5W     1006            23





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 311618