WTPN31 PHNC 262200

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/HURRICANE 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 008//

RMKS/

1. HURRICANE 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 008

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   261800Z --- NEAR 17.6N 106.8W

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 106.8W

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   270600Z --- 18.4N 108.7W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   271800Z --- 19.0N 110.4W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   280600Z --- 19.5N 112.3W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   281800Z --- 19.8N 113.7W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   291800Z --- 20.3N 116.5W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   301800Z --- 20.5N 119.4W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

REMARKS:

262200Z POSITION NEAR 17.9N 107.4W.

HURRICANE 04E (DORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1063 NM SOUTHEAST OF

SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE

PAST SIX HOURS.

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT

WARNINGS AT 270400Z, 271000Z, 271600Z AND 272200Z.

//