WTPN31 PHNC 251600

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL STORM 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 003

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   251200Z --- NEAR 14.8N 101.3W

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N 101.3W

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   260000Z --- 15.8N 103.3W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   261200Z --- 16.8N 105.1W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   270000Z --- 17.8N 106.9W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   271200Z --- 18.6N 108.6W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   281200Z --- 19.6N 111.7W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   291200Z --- 20.3N 115.0W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   301200Z --- 20.0N 118.0W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

    ---

REMARKS:

251600Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 102.0W.

TROPICAL STORM 04E (DORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1377 NM

SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10

KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT

WARNINGS AT 252200Z, 260400Z, 261000Z AND 261600Z.

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