WTPS52 PGTW 110300 WARNING ATCG MIL 19P SWP 170511015444 2017051100 19P ELLA 005 02 270 02 SATL 030 T000 143S 1768W 055 R050 010 NE QD 015 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW QD 035 NW QD T012 146S 1776W 060 R050 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 035 NW QD T024 149S 1785W 060 R050 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 025 NW QD T036 152S 1794W 055 R050 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 025 NW QD T048 153S 1799W 045 R034 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD T072 150S 1783E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (ELLA) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (ELLA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z --- NEAR 14.3S 176.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S 176.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 14.6S 177.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 14.9S 178.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 15.2S 179.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 15.3S 179.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 15.0S 178.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110300Z POSITION NEAR 14.4S 177.0W. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (ELLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 238 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z AND 120300Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1917050712 173S1750W 20 1917050718 169S1745W 20 1917050800 166S1739W 25 1917050806 163S1732W 25 1917050812 159S1725W 30 1917050818 155S1724W 30 1917050900 152S1728W 35 1917050906 150S1730W 40 1917050912 149S1732W 45 1917050918 149S1734W 45 1917051000 148S1744W 45 1917051006 146S1753W 45 1917051012 144S1759W 50 1917051012 144S1759W 50 1917051018 143S1766W 55 1917051018 143S1766W 55 1917051100 143S1768W 55 1917051100 143S1768W 55