WTPS31 PGTW 061400

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (FOURTEEN) WARNING NR 003//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (FOURTEEN) WARNING NR 003

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   061200Z --- NEAR 20.8S 169.8W

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

   REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S 169.8W

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   070000Z --- 21.3S 169.6W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

    ---

REMARKS:

061500Z POSITION NEAR 20.9S 169.8W.

TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (FOURTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 102 NM

SOUTH OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST

SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS

THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY SHEARED EASTWARD OF THE

LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT HAS BECOME UNRAVELED. THE INITIAL POSITION

IS BASED ON THE EIR LOOP AND ON THE 060905Z AMSU MICROWAVE PASS WITH

LOW CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN OVERALL

ASSESSMENT OF AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AND AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES. UPPER

LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CYCLONE HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF

STRONG (30-40 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 14P HAS WEAKENED TO BELOW

JTWC WARNING CRITERIA. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY

THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY

MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT

AT 061200Z IS 8 FEET.//