WTXS31 PGTW 142100 RRA

SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (DINEO) WARNING NR 004

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (DINEO) WARNING NR 004

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

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   WARNING POSITION:

   141800Z --- NEAR 22.5S 38.4E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S 38.4E

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   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   150600Z --- 23.1S 37.2E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS

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   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   151800Z --- 23.3S 35.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS

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   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   160600Z --- 23.3S 34.3E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS

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   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:=