WTXS51 PGTW 100300 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 170210012616 2017021000 04S CARLOS 012 01 135 17 SATL 025 T000 264S 0564E 060 R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 281S 0589E 060 R050 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 293S 0617E 055 R050 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD T036 302S 0640E 050 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD T048 305S 0647E 045 R034 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD T072 308S 0645E 040 R034 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD T096 311S 0635E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 012 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z --- NEAR 26.4S 56.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.4S 56.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 28.1S 58.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 29.3S 61.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 30.2S 64.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 30.5S 64.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 30.8S 64.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 31.1S 63.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100300Z POSITION NEAR 26.8S 57.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 381 NM SOUTH OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z AND 110300Z.// 0417020218 137S 561E 25 0417020300 135S 556E 25 0417020306 137S 553E 25 0417020312 141S 555E 30 0417020318 147S 563E 30 0417020400 153S 568E 30 0417020406 159S 568E 30 0417020412 167S 565E 35 0417020418 171S 565E 35 0417020500 173S 566E 35 0417020506 174S 568E 35 0417020512 175S 570E 45 0417020518 176S 574E 55 0417020518 176S 574E 55 0417020600 177S 576E 55 0417020600 177S 576E 55 0417020606 178S 575E 55 0417020606 178S 575E 55 0417020612 181S 572E 55 0417020612 181S 572E 55 0417020618 185S 570E 50 0417020618 185S 570E 50 0417020700 190S 563E 45 0417020706 195S 553E 45 0417020712 200S 544E 45 0417020718 206S 538E 45 0417020800 212S 533E 40 0417020806 220S 529E 40 0417020812 224S 527E 40 0417020818 230S 529E 45 0417020900 234S 531E 55 0417020900 234S 531E 55 0417020906 239S 535E 65 0417020906 239S 535E 65 0417020912 245S 544E 65 0417020912 245S 544E 65 0417020918 252S 551E 60 0417020918 252S 551E 60 0417021000 264S 564E 60 0417021000 264S 564E 60